Valenciennes vs Caen: result 3-1 and analysis
Ligue 1Regular Season - 38Kick-off on May 20, 2012 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stade du Hainaut, Valenciennes
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What was the result of Valenciennes vs Caen?
Valenciennes won 3-1 on May 20, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 36′V. AboubakarValenciennes
- 68′Gaël DanicValenciennes (pen.)
- 77′B. NivetCaen
- 86′R. CohadeValenciennes
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Valenciennes have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Caen have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2012 | Stade Brestois 29(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 6, 2012 | Paris Saint Germain(home) | 3-4 | Ligue 1 |
| May 2, 2012 | Lyon(away) | 1-4 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 29, 2012 | Nice(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 21, 2012 | Montpellier(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2012 | Sochaux(home) | 1-3 | Ligue 1 |
| May 7, 2012 | Lille(away) | 0-3 | Ligue 1 |
| May 2, 2012 | Lorient(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 29, 2012 | Nancy(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 21, 2012 | Saint Etienne(home) | 1-4 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Valenciennes win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Caen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2011 | Caen 1-0 Valenciennes | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 19, 2011 | Caen 2-2 Valenciennes | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 2, 2010 | Valenciennes 2-1 Caen | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Valenciennes score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Caen score 0.8 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valenciennes | 1.0 | 1.7 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Caen | 0.8 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy