Valenciennes vs Villefranche: prediction and stats
Ligue 3Regular Season - 14Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Stade du Hainaut, Valenciennes
The Footlab model makes Valenciennes the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Villefranche. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Valenciennes vs Villefranche?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Valenciennes (1,747) and Villefranche (1,706).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Valenciennes have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Villefranche have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Gobelins(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Bourg-en-bresse 01(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Caen(away) | 0-4 | Ligue 3 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Boulogne(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Eastleigh(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Concarneau(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Gobelins(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Bourg-en-bresse 01(away) | 2-3 | Ligue 3 |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Grenoble(away) | 2-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 15, 2026 | Concarneau(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 4 Valenciennes win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Villefranche win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | Villefranche 2-3 Valenciennes | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 26, 2025 | Valenciennes 2-0 Villefranche | Ligue 3 |
| Mar 7, 2025 | Villefranche 0-2 Valenciennes | Ligue 3 |
| Oct 4, 2024 | Valenciennes 2-2 Villefranche | Ligue 3 |
| Jul 29, 2020 | Villefranche 0-4 Valenciennes | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Villefranche vs Valenciennes on Mar 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Valenciennes score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Villefranche score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valenciennes | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Villefranche | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Valenciennes sit 13th in Ligue 3 (3 points from 3 matches) and Villefranche sit 11th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Villefranche | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 13 | Valenciennes | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Valenciennes vs Villefranche?
- The Footlab model makes Valenciennes the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Villefranche.
- Where and when is Valenciennes vs Villefranche played?
- Valenciennes vs Villefranche is played on December 5, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Stade du Hainaut, in the Ligue 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.