Valenii de Munte vs Baicoi: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 2Group 2 - 21Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Orășenesc, Vălenii de Munte
The Footlab model makes Valenii de Munte the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Baicoi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Valenii de Munte vs Baicoi?
A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate Valenii de Munte (1,318) and Baicoi (1,417).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Valenii de Munte have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Baicoi have 6, 0 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Berca(away) | 2-5 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Kids Tâmpa Braşov(away) | 0-2 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| May 9, 2026 | Progresul Mogosoaia(home) | 1-2 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| May 2, 2026 | Săcele(away) | 2-7 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Baicoi(home) | 0-2 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Metalul Buzău(home) | 2-4 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Berca(away) | 3-2 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Plopeni(away) | 2-1 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Progresul Mogosoaia(away) | 2-4 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| May 8, 2026 | Săcele(home) | 4-2 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Valenii de Munte win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Baicoi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Valenii de Munte 0-2 Baicoi | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Valenii de Munte 1-1 Baicoi | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Baicoi 1-1 Valenii de Munte | Liga III - Serie 4 |
Last archived meeting: Valenii de Munte vs Baicoi on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Valenii de Munte score 1.3 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Baicoi score 1.4 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valenii de Munte | 1.3 | 2.7 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Baicoi | 1.4 | 1.9 | 2 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Valenii de Munte vs Baicoi?
- The Footlab model makes Valenii de Munte the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Baicoi.
- Where and when is Valenii de Munte vs Baicoi played?
- Valenii de Munte vs Baicoi is played on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Orășenesc, in the Liga III - Serie 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.