Valenzana vs Sestri Levante: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone AGroup A · Matchday 15Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale
The Footlab AI model makes Sestri Levante the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Valenzana. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sestri Levante wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,490 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Valenzana vs Sestri Levante?
A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Valenzana (1,678) and Sestri Levante (1,751).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Valenzana vs Sestri Levante
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Valenzana
Not enough data to predict the Valenzana lineup.
Sestri Levante
Not enough data to predict the Sestri Levante lineup.
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 09:17 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Valenzana have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Sestri Levante have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Chisola(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Celle Varazze(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Biellese(home) | 3-0 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Ligorna(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Biellese(away) | 1-4 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Bra(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Nov 4, 2026 | Lucchese(away) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Ligorna(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Saluzzo(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Sanremese(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Valenzana win, 1 draw, 0 Sestri Levante wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Valenzana 1-0 Sestri Levante | Serie D - Girone A |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Sestri Levante 1-1 Valenzana | Serie D - Girone A |
Last archived meeting: Valenzana vs Sestri Levante on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Valenzana score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sestri Levante score 1.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valenzana | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Sestri Levante | 1.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Valenzana sit 17th in Serie D - Girone A (6 points from 11 matches) and Sestri Levante sit 15th (10 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Sestri Levante | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 10 |
| 17 | Valenzana | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 6 |
A question about Valenzana vs Sestri Levante?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Valenzana vs Sestri Levante?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sestri Levante the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Valenzana.
- Where and when is Valenzana vs Sestri Levante played?
- Valenzana vs Sestri Levante is played on December 6, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale, in the Serie D - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.