Match

Valladolid vs Almeria: prediction and stats

Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 30Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla, Valladolid

ValladolidAlmeria

The Footlab AI model makes Almeria the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Valladolid. The most likely score is 1-1. If Almeria wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,545 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Valladolid vs Almeria?

Almeria starts as the favourite with a 177-point Elo edge (2,092 vs 1,915).

30%25%45%
Valladolid winDrawAlmeria win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Valladolid vs Almeria

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Valladolid

4-1-3-2
  1. 19Adrian Arnuncio
  2. 30Víctor Fernández
  1. 21J. Ponceau
  2. 24S. Jurić
  3. 8T. Ojeda
  4. 23T. Abed
  1. 27Iván Garriel
  2. 15Pablo Tomeo
  3. 14Iván Alejo
  4. 4David Torres
  1. 1Álvaro Aceves

Almeria

4-2-3-1
  1. 24Miguel de la Fuente
  1. 14Javi Muñoz
  2. 17B. Cipenga
  3. 11Sergio Arribas
  4. 29S. Džodić
  5. 33Quim Junyent
  1. 18F. Bonini
  2. 2Marcos Luna
  3. 3Álex Muñoz
  4. 5Jorge Pulido
  1. 1Andrés Fernández

Computed on November 5, 2026 at 07:48 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Valladolid have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Almeria have 11, 2 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Valladolid
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 2, 2026Leganes(home)4-3Segunda División
Oct 29, 2026Covadonga(away)1-0Copa del Rey
Oct 23, 2026Granada CF(away)1-2Segunda División
Oct 18, 2026Eldense(home)2-3Segunda División
Oct 12, 2026Albacete(home)5-0Segunda División
Almeria
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026Eibar(away)1-1Segunda División
Oct 27, 2026Castellonense(away)2-1Copa del Rey
Oct 24, 2026Oviedo(home)2-2Segunda División
Oct 17, 2026Real Sociedad II(away)4-2Segunda División
Oct 11, 2026Leganes(home)3-0Segunda División

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Valladolid wins, 2 draws, 2 Almeria wins.

DateScoreCompetition
May 31, 2026Almeria 1-0 ValladolidSegunda División
Sep 13, 2025Valladolid 3-1 AlmeriaSegunda División
May 28, 2023Almeria 0-0 ValladolidLa Liga
Sep 5, 2022Valladolid 1-0 AlmeriaLa Liga
Apr 16, 2022Valladolid 2-2 AlmeriaSegunda División
Nov 20, 2021Almeria 3-1 ValladolidSegunda División

Last archived meeting: Almeria vs Valladolid on May 31, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Valladolid score 1.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Almeria score 2.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Valladolid1.91.448/159/15
Almeria2.10.776/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Valladolid sit 13th in Segunda División (15 points from 12 matches) and Almeria sit 2nd (26 points from 12 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Almeria12822231026
13Valladolid12435201915

A question about Valladolid vs Almeria?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Valladolid vs Almeria?
The Footlab AI model makes Almeria the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Valladolid.
Where and when is Valladolid vs Almeria played?
Valladolid vs Almeria is played on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla, in the Segunda División.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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