Castellón vs Celta de Vigo II: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 30Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Nou Estadi Castalia, Castellón de la Plana
The Footlab AI model makes Castellón the favourite at 73%, against 18% for a draw and 9% for Celta de Vigo II. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,204 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Castellón vs Celta de Vigo II?
Castellón starts as the favourite with a 138-point Elo edge (2,075 vs 1,937).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Castellón vs Celta de Vigo II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Castellón
4-4-2- 10Israel Suero
- 16A. Jakobsen
- 8Barri
- 14Iñigo Córdoba
- 6M. Orozco
- 25J. Vlak
- 5Alberto Jiménez
- 4A. Sienra
- 22J. Mellot
- 18Pablo Santiago
- 13R. Matthys
Celta de Vigo II
3-4-2-1- 9A. Marin
- 16Adrià Capdevila
- 11Ángel Arcos
- 15A. Kibet
- 29M. Sobral
- 10O. Marcos
- 23G. Miller
- 3K. Ribes
- 18Joel López
- 4S. M. Ndiaye
- 1Coke Carrillo
Computed on November 9, 2026 at 10:05 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Castellón have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Celta de Vigo II have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Burgos(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Conquense(away) | 3-0 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(home) | 4-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Las Palmas(away) | 3-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | FC Andorra(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Burgos(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Cordoba(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Girona(away) | 1-5 | Segunda División |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Tenerife(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(home) | 4-1 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Castellón win, 0 draws, 0 Celta de Vigo II wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II 1-2 Castellón | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Celta de Vigo II vs Castellón on Aug 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Castellón score 1.8 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Celta de Vigo II score 1.6 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Castellón | 1.8 | 0.5 | 9 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Celta de Vigo II | 1.6 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Castellón sit 2nd in Segunda División (27 points from 12 matches) and Celta de Vigo II sit 16th (13 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Castellón | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
| 16 | Celta de Vigo II | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 25 | 13 |
A question about Castellón vs Celta de Vigo II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Castellón vs Celta de Vigo II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Castellón the favourite at 73%, against 18% for a draw and 9% for Celta de Vigo II.
- Where and when is Castellón vs Celta de Vigo II played?
- Castellón vs Celta de Vigo II is played on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Nou Estadi Castalia, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.