Mallorca vs Leganes: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 30Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadi Mallorca Son Moix, Palma de Mallorca
The Footlab model makes Mallorca the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Leganes. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mallorca vs Leganes?
Mallorca starts as the favourite with a 141-point Elo edge (2,071 vs 1,930).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mallorca have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Leganes have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Granada CF(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Valladolid(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SV Elversberg(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Paris Saint Germain(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Al-Ittihad FC(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Oviedo(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Girona(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tenerife(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Mérida AD(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Al-Rayyan SC(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Mallorca win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Leganes win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2025 | Mallorca 0-0 Leganes | La Liga |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Leganes 0-1 Mallorca | La Liga |
| Apr 1, 2021 | Mallorca 1-0 Leganes | Segunda División |
| Dec 12, 2020 | Leganes 0-1 Mallorca | Segunda División |
| Jun 19, 2020 | Mallorca 1-1 Leganes | La Liga |
| Oct 26, 2019 | Leganes 1-0 Mallorca | La Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Mallorca score 1.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Leganes score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mallorca | 1.7 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Leganes | 0.9 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mallorca sit 12th in Segunda División (3 points from 2 matches) and Leganes sit 5th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Leganes | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 12 | Mallorca | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mallorca vs Leganes?
- The Footlab model makes Mallorca the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Leganes.
- Where and when is Mallorca vs Leganes played?
- Mallorca vs Leganes is played on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.