Valladolid vs Leganes: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla, Valladolid
The Footlab AI model makes Valladolid the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Leganes. The most likely score is 1-1. If Valladolid wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Valladolid vs Leganes?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Valladolid (1,824) and Leganes (1,845).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Valladolid vs Leganes
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Valladolid
4-1-3-2- 9Juanmi Latasa
- 19Adrian Arnuncio
- 21J. Ponceau
- 30Víctor Fernández
- 24S. Jurić
- 7Luis Chacón
- 4David Torres
- 27Iván Garriel
- 14Iván Alejo
- 12Miguel Rubio
- 1Álvaro Aceves
Leganes
3-5-2- 19P. Soko
- 21Álvaro Morata
- 8Y. Kechta
- 20Miguel Atienza
- 11Naim García
- 22Álex Sancris
- 17Ismaël Gharbi
- 2Marvel
- 6Lalo Aguilar
- 3Javi Montero
- 13L. Zidane
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 02:21 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Valladolid have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Leganes have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Las Palmas(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Cordoba(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | AD Ceuta FC(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Oviedo(home) | 0-3 | Segunda División |
| Sep 5, 2026 | FC Andorra(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cadiz(away) | 0-4 | Segunda División |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Castellón(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Granada CF(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Tenerife(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Las Palmas(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Valladolid win, 2 draws, 3 Leganes wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Valladolid 3-2 Leganes | Segunda División |
| Jan 11, 2026 | Leganes 3-0 Valladolid | Segunda División |
| May 24, 2025 | Leganes 3-0 Valladolid | La Liga |
| Oct 10, 2024 | Leganes 3-1 Valladolid | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 28, 2024 | Valladolid 0-0 Leganes | La Liga |
| Feb 3, 2024 | Leganes 0-0 Valladolid | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Valladolid vs Leganes on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Valladolid score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Leganes score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valladolid | 1.3 | 1.2 | 3 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Leganes | 0.9 | 1.1 | 7 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Valladolid sit 14th in Segunda División (9 points from 8 matches) and Leganes sit 13th (11 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Leganes | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 11 |
| 14 | Valladolid | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 9 |
A question about Valladolid vs Leganes?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Valladolid vs Leganes?
- The Footlab AI model makes Valladolid the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Leganes.
- Where and when is Valladolid vs Leganes played?
- Valladolid vs Leganes is played on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.