Valladolid vs Sabadell: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 33Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla, Valladolid
The Footlab AI model makes Sabadell the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Valladolid. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sabadell wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,422 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Valladolid vs Sabadell?
Sabadell starts as the favourite with a 118-point Elo edge (2,027 vs 1,909).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Valladolid vs Sabadell
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Valladolid
4-1-3-2- 9Juanmi Latasa
- 19Adrian Arnuncio
- 21J. Ponceau
- 30Víctor Fernández
- 24S. Jurić
- 8T. Ojeda
- 4David Torres
- 27Iván Garriel
- 14Iván Alejo
- 15Pablo Tomeo
- 1Álvaro Aceves
Sabadell
4-4-2- 23J. Priego
- 10Ángel Baena
- 7Ton Ripoll
- 22Q. Liameed
- 20Urri
- 8Pere Pons
- 6Edgar González
- 14Óscar Sanz
- 4Miki Codina
- 27José Luis Català
- 1Diego Fuoli
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 09:31 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Valladolid have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Sabadell have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Albacete(home) | 5-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Las Palmas(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Cordoba(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | AD Ceuta FC(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Oviedo(home) | 0-3 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | AD Ceuta FC(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | FC Andorra(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Oviedo(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Mallorca(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Valladolid score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sabadell score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valladolid | 1.6 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Sabadell | 1.2 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Valladolid sit 11th in Segunda División (12 points from 9 matches) and Sabadell sit 5th (16 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Sabadell | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 16 |
| 11 | Valladolid | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 12 |
A question about Valladolid vs Sabadell?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Valladolid vs Sabadell?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sabadell the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Valladolid.
- Where and when is Valladolid vs Sabadell played?
- Valladolid vs Sabadell is played on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.