Cadiz vs Castellón: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 33Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla, Cádiz
The Footlab AI model makes Castellón the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Cadiz. The most likely score is 1-1. If Castellón wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.5% of the 3,618 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cadiz vs Castellón?
Castellón starts as the favourite with a 238-point Elo edge (2,107 vs 1,870).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cadiz vs Castellón
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cadiz
4-2-3-1- 21V. Kopotun
- 24Ibon Sánchez
- 16Antonio Cordero
- 28D. A. Zarate Hidalgo
- 5M. Doué
- 19Urko Izeta
- 6Manu Fernández
- 3Sergio Arribas
- 4Javi Castro
- 2Beñat de Jesús
- 1David Gil
Castellón
4-4-2- 10Israel Suero
- 16A. Jakobsen
- 8Barri
- 18Pablo Santiago
- 6M. Orozco
- 21Álvaro Martín
- 5Alberto Jiménez
- 4A. Sienra
- 22J. Mellot
- 14Iñigo Córdoba
- 13R. Matthys
Computed on October 26, 2026 at 07:22 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cadiz have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Castellón have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | AD Ceuta FC(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Granada CF(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Leganes(home) | 4-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Tenerife(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(home) | 4-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Las Palmas(away) | 3-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | FC Andorra(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | AD Ceuta FC(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Leganes(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Cadiz wins, 2 draws, 0 Castellón wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | Castellón 1-1 Cadiz | Segunda División |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Cadiz 2-0 Castellón | Segunda División |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Cadiz 0-0 Castellón | Segunda División |
| Sep 9, 2024 | Castellón 1-3 Cadiz | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Cadiz score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Castellón score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cadiz | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Castellón | 1.7 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cadiz sit 18th in Segunda División (10 points from 11 matches) and Castellón sit 1st (26 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Castellón | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 4 | 26 |
| 18 | Cadiz | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 10 |
A question about Cadiz vs Castellón?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cadiz vs Castellón?
- The Footlab AI model makes Castellón the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Cadiz.
- Where and when is Cadiz vs Castellón played?
- Cadiz vs Castellón is played on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.