Match

Leganes vs Almeria: prediction and stats

Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 33Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Butarque, Leganés

LeganesAlmeria

The Footlab AI model makes Almeria the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Leganes. The most likely score is 1-1. If Almeria wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,753 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Leganes vs Almeria?

Almeria starts as the favourite with a 192-point Elo edge (2,105 vs 1,913).

31%27%42%
Leganes winDrawAlmeria win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Leganes vs Almeria

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Leganes

4-2-3-1
  1. 9Álex Millán
  1. 17Ismaël Gharbi
  2. 22Álex Sancris
  3. 19P. Soko
  4. 11Naim García
  5. 10Z. Buurmeester
  1. 3Javi Montero
  2. 4Rubén Pulido
  3. 5Ignasi Miquel
  4. 2Marvel
  1. 13L. Zidane

Almeria

4-2-3-1
  1. 24Miguel de la Fuente
  1. 14Javi Muñoz
  2. 17B. Cipenga
  3. 11Sergio Arribas
  4. 29S. Džodić
  5. 33Quim Junyent
  1. 18F. Bonini
  2. 2Marcos Luna
  3. 3Álex Muñoz
  4. 5Jorge Pulido
  1. 1Andrés Fernández

Computed on October 28, 2026 at 08:43 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leganes have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Almeria have 11, 1 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Leganes
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026Mallorca(home)1-1Segunda División
Oct 16, 2026Cordoba(home)0-1Segunda División
Oct 11, 2026Almeria(away)0-3Segunda División
Oct 3, 2026Cadiz(away)0-4Segunda División
Sep 28, 2026Castellón(home)0-2Segunda División
Almeria
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 27, 2026Castellonense(away)2-1Copa del Rey
Oct 24, 2026Oviedo(home)2-2Segunda División
Oct 17, 2026Real Sociedad II(away)4-2Segunda División
Oct 11, 2026Leganes(home)3-0Segunda División
Oct 3, 2026Burgos(home)2-1Segunda División

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Leganes win, 1 draw, 4 Almeria wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Almeria 3-0 LeganesSegunda División
Apr 5, 2026Almeria 2-1 LeganesSegunda División
Nov 22, 2025Leganes 0-3 AlmeriaSegunda División
Jan 15, 2025Almeria 2-3 LeganesCopa del Rey
May 29, 2022Leganes 2-2 AlmeriaSegunda División
Oct 29, 2021Almeria 1-0 LeganesSegunda División

Last archived meeting: Almeria vs Leganes on Oct 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Leganes score 0.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Almeria score 2.0 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Leganes0.81.254/155/15
Almeria2.00.775/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Leganes sit 17th in Segunda División (12 points from 11 matches) and Almeria sit 2nd (25 points from 11 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Almeria1181222925
17Leganes1133571612

A question about Leganes vs Almeria?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Leganes vs Almeria?
The Footlab AI model makes Almeria the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Leganes.
Where and when is Leganes vs Almeria played?
Leganes vs Almeria is played on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Butarque, in the Segunda División.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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