Valle Egüés vs Pamplona: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 15Group 15 - 26Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Sarriguren, Sarriguren
The Footlab AI model makes Pamplona the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Valle Egüés. The most likely score is 1-1. If Pamplona wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,673 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Valle Egüés vs Pamplona?
A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate Valle Egüés (1,792) and Pamplona (1,885).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Valle Egüés vs Pamplona
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Valle Egüés
Not enough data to predict the Valle Egüés lineup.
Pamplona
Not enough data to predict the Pamplona lineup.
Computed on October 27, 2026 at 09:20 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Valle Egüés have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Pamplona have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Gazte Berriak(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Huarte(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Doneztebe FT(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Aoiz(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Cantolagua(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Txantrea(away) | 1-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Gazte Berriak(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Izarra(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Huarte(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cortes(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Valle Egüés wins, 2 draws, 2 Pamplona wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Valle Egüés 2-1 Pamplona | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Pamplona 4-2 Valle Egüés | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Feb 14, 2025 | Pamplona 2-0 Valle Egüés | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Valle Egüés 0-0 Pamplona | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Valle Egüés 0-0 Pamplona | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Nov 12, 2022 | Pamplona 0-1 Valle Egüés | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
Last archived meeting: Valle Egüés vs Pamplona on Jan 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Valle Egüés score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Pamplona score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valle Egüés | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Pamplona | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Valle Egüés sit 11th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 (9 points from 7 matches) and Pamplona sit 15th (7 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Valle Egüés | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 9 |
| 15 | Pamplona | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 7 |
A question about Valle Egüés vs Pamplona?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Valle Egüés vs Pamplona?
- The Footlab AI model makes Pamplona the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Valle Egüés.
- Where and when is Valle Egüés vs Pamplona played?
- Valle Egüés vs Pamplona is played on March 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Sarriguren, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 15.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.