Valle Egüés vs Izarra: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 15Group 15 - 16Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Sarriguren, Sarriguren
The Footlab AI model makes Izarra the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for Valle Egüés. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,869 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Valle Egüés vs Izarra?
Izarra starts as the favourite with a 143-point Elo edge (1,929 vs 1,786).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Valle Egüés vs Izarra
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Valle Egüés
Not enough data to predict the Valle Egüés lineup.
Izarra
Not enough data to predict the Izarra lineup.
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 07:33 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Valle Egüés have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Izarra have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Huarte(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Doneztebe FT(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Aoiz(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Cantolagua(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Mutilvera(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Txantrea(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Pamplona(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cortes(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Beti Kozkor(home) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Bidezarra(away) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Valle Egüés win, 3 draws, 0 Izarra wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Izarra 1-1 Valle Egüés | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Valle Egüés 2-2 Izarra | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Valle Egüés 0-0 Izarra | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 15, 2023 | Izarra 0-2 Valle Egüés | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Valle Egüés score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Izarra score 2.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valle Egüés | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Izarra | 2.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Valle Egüés sit 9th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 (9 points from 7 matches) and Izarra sit 1st (18 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Izarra | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 3 | 18 |
| 9 | Valle Egüés | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 9 |
A question about Valle Egüés vs Izarra?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Valle Egüés vs Izarra?
- The Footlab AI model makes Izarra the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for Valle Egüés.
- Where and when is Valle Egüés vs Izarra played?
- Valle Egüés vs Izarra is played on December 19, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Sarriguren, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 15.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.