Valletta FC vs Marsaxlokk: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 3Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)MFA Centenary Stadium, Ta'Qali
The Footlab model makes Valletta FC the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Marsaxlokk. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Valletta FC vs Marsaxlokk?
A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Valletta FC (1,623) and Marsaxlokk (1,572).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Valletta FC have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Marsaxlokk have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gzira United(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Zabbar St. Patrick(home) | 4-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Raków Częstochowa(home) | 0-4 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Raków Częstochowa(away) | 1-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| May 23, 2026 | Gzira United(home) | 2-1 | FA Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Hibernians(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Balzan FC(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gzira United(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Pyunik Yerevan(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 9, 2026 | Pyunik Yerevan(home) | 0-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Valletta FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Marsaxlokk win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Marsaxlokk 1-0 Valletta FC | Premier League |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Marsaxlokk 1-1 Valletta FC | Premier League |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Valletta FC 1-0 Marsaxlokk | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Valletta FC 3-1 Marsaxlokk | Premier League |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Valletta FC 2-0 Marsaxlokk | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Valletta FC 0-2 Marsaxlokk | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Marsaxlokk vs Valletta FC on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Valletta FC score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Marsaxlokk score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valletta FC | 1.5 | 1.4 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Marsaxlokk | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Valletta FC sit 1st in Premier League (6 points from 2 matches) and Marsaxlokk sit 4th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Valletta FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Marsaxlokk | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Valletta FC vs Marsaxlokk?
- The Footlab model makes Valletta FC the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Marsaxlokk.
- Where and when is Valletta FC vs Marsaxlokk played?
- Valletta FC vs Marsaxlokk is played on August 28, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at MFA Centenary Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.