Hibernians vs Zabbar St. Patrick: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 3Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Tony Bezzina Stadium, Paola
The Footlab model makes Hibernians the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Zabbar St. Patrick. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hibernians vs Zabbar St. Patrick?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Hibernians (1,487) and Zabbar St. Patrick (1,440).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hibernians have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Zabbar St. Patrick have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Marsaxlokk(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sliema Wanderers(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Zabbar St. Patrick(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Mosta(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Birkirkara(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Birzebbuga(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Valletta FC(away) | 2-4 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Tarxien Rainbows(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| May 5, 2026 | Tarxien Rainbows(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Hibernians(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Hibernians win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Zabbar St. Patrick win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2026 | Zabbar St. Patrick 3-0 Hibernians | Premier League |
| Feb 4, 2026 | Hibernians 2-1 Zabbar St. Patrick | Premier League |
| Dec 18, 2025 | Hibernians 3-3 Zabbar St. Patrick | Premier League |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Zabbar St. Patrick 2-2 Hibernians | Premier League |
| May 1, 2025 | Zabbar St. Patrick 2-2 Hibernians | Premier League |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Hibernians 0-4 Zabbar St. Patrick | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Zabbar St. Patrick vs Hibernians on Apr 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hibernians score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Zabbar St. Patrick score 1.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hibernians | 1.0 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Zabbar St. Patrick | 1.7 | 1.4 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hibernians sit 6th in Premier League (3 points from 2 matches) and Zabbar St. Patrick sit 7th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Hibernians | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Zabbar St. Patrick | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hibernians vs Zabbar St. Patrick?
- The Footlab model makes Hibernians the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Zabbar St. Patrick.
- Where and when is Hibernians vs Zabbar St. Patrick played?
- Hibernians vs Zabbar St. Patrick is played on August 28, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Tony Bezzina Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.