Match

Vancouver FC vs Forge: prediction and stats

Canadian Premier LeagueGroup StageKick-off on September 26, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Willoughby Community Park at the Langley Events Centre, Langley, British Columbia

Vancouver FCForge

The Footlab model makes Forge the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Vancouver FC. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Vancouver FC vs Forge?

Forge starts as the favourite with a 195-point Elo edge (1,849 vs 1,655).

Vancouver FC win28 %
Draw27 %
Forge win44 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vancouver FC have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Forge have 10, 2 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Vancouver FC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026HFX Wanderers FC(away)0-1Canadian Premier League
Aug 19, 2026Atlético Ottawa(away)0-4Canadian Premier League
Aug 15, 2026Pacific FC(home)1-1Canadian Premier League
Aug 7, 2026Forge(away)1-0Canadian Premier League
Aug 1, 2026Atlético Ottawa(home)3-1Canadian Premier League
Forge
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Pacific FC(home)2-0Canadian Premier League
Aug 19, 2026Supra du Quebec(home)3-2Canadian Premier League
Aug 15, 2026Cavalry FC(away)1-2Canadian Premier League
Aug 7, 2026Vancouver FC(home)0-1Canadian Premier League
Aug 2, 2026HFX Wanderers FC(away)0-0Canadian Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Vancouver FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Forge win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 7, 2026Forge 0-1 Vancouver FCCanadian Premier League
Jul 1, 2026Forge 3-2 Vancouver FCCanadian Premier League
Apr 12, 2026Vancouver FC 0-1 ForgeCanadian Premier League
Oct 4, 2025Forge 1-1 Vancouver FCCanadian Premier League
Aug 23, 2025Vancouver FC 0-1 ForgeCanadian Premier League
Jul 5, 2025Forge 2-1 Vancouver FCCanadian Premier League

Last archived meeting: Forge vs Vancouver FC on Aug 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Vancouver FC score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Forge score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Vancouver FC1.61.339/159/15
Forge1.70.959/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Vancouver FC sit 4th in Canadian Premier League (27 points from 19 matches) and Forge sit 1st (41 points from 18 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Forge181323291341
4Vancouver FC19838262227

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Vancouver FC vs Forge?
The Footlab model makes Forge the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Vancouver FC.
Where and when is Vancouver FC vs Forge played?
Vancouver FC vs Forge is played on September 26, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Willoughby Community Park at the Langley Events Centre, in the Canadian Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Vancouver FC and Forge

Ready to know everything about football?