Vancouver Whitecaps II vs Sporting KC II: prediction and stats
MLS Next ProGroup StageKick-off on August 30, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Swangard Stadium, Burnaby, British Columbia
The Footlab model makes Vancouver Whitecaps II the favourite at 56%, against 21% for a draw and 24% for Sporting KC II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vancouver Whitecaps II vs Sporting KC II?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Vancouver Whitecaps II (1,532) and Sporting KC II (1,493).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vancouver Whitecaps II have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Sporting KC II have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Austin II(away) | 1-4 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Tacoma Defiance(away) | 2-4 | MLS Next Pro |
| Jul 26, 2026 | St. Louis City II(away) | 1-1 | MLS Next Pro |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Austin II(home) | 0-4 | MLS Next Pro |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Real Monarchs(away) | 1-2 | MLS Next Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Tacoma Defiance(away) | 0-4 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Los Angeles FC II(away) | 1-2 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Colorado Rapids II(home) | 2-2 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Austin II(away) | 0-1 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Houston Dynamo FC II(home) | 3-2 | MLS Next Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Vancouver Whitecaps II win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Sporting KC II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2026 | Sporting KC II 3-2 Vancouver Whitecaps II | MLS Next Pro |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Sporting KC II 2-2 Vancouver Whitecaps II | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 1, 2025 | Vancouver Whitecaps II 2-3 Sporting KC II | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Vancouver Whitecaps II 0-4 Sporting KC II | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Sporting KC II 1-1 Vancouver Whitecaps II | MLS Next Pro |
| Jul 2, 2023 | Sporting KC II 7-1 Vancouver Whitecaps II | MLS Next Pro |
Last archived meeting: Sporting KC II vs Vancouver Whitecaps II on Apr 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Vancouver Whitecaps II score 1.1 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Sporting KC II score 1.4 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vancouver Whitecaps II | 1.1 | 2.5 | 0 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Sporting KC II | 1.4 | 2.5 | 1 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vancouver Whitecaps II sit 13th in MLS Next Pro (19 points from 23 matches) and Sporting KC II sit 12th (20 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Sporting KC II | 24 | 6 | 0 | 18 | 30 | 61 | 20 |
| 7 | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 23 | 7 | 0 | 16 | 29 | 53 | 19 |
| 12 | Sporting KC II | 24 | 6 | 0 | 18 | 30 | 61 | 20 |
| 12 | Sporting KC II | 22 | 6 | 0 | 16 | 29 | 55 | 20 |
| 13 | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 23 | 7 | 0 | 16 | 29 | 53 | 19 |
| 13 | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 23 | 7 | 0 | 16 | 29 | 53 | 19 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vancouver Whitecaps II vs Sporting KC II?
- The Footlab model makes Vancouver Whitecaps II the favourite at 56%, against 21% for a draw and 24% for Sporting KC II.
- Where and when is Vancouver Whitecaps II vs Sporting KC II played?
- Vancouver Whitecaps II vs Sporting KC II is played on August 30, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Swangard Stadium, in the MLS Next Pro.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 28, 2026Inter Miami II1-1Chicago Fire II
- Feb 28, 2026Philadelphia Union II1-0Toronto II
- Feb 28, 2026St. Louis City II4-0Sporting KC II
- Mar 1, 2026Chattanooga1-4Crown Legacy
- Mar 1, 2026Portland Timbers II2-1The Town
- Mar 1, 2026New York RB II4-2Columbus Crew II
- Mar 1, 2026Real Monarchs2-2North Texas
- Mar 1, 2026FC Cincinnati II1-3Connecticut FC