Vard vs Os: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 3Regular Season - 17Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Sakkestad gras, Haugesund
The Footlab model makes Os the favourite at 48%, against 20% for a draw and 31% for Vard. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vard vs Os?
Os starts as the favourite with a 154-point Elo edge (1,781 vs 1,627).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vard have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Os have 13, 0 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Haugesund(home) | 3-4 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Austevoll(away) | 1-2 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Djerv(home) | 1-3 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Gneist(away) | 1-2 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Sogndal II(home) | 4-4 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lysekloster(home) | 2-0 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Brann II(away) | 3-1 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stord(home) | 8-2 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Austevoll(away) | 5-1 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Varegg(home) | 4-0 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Vard win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Os win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Os 6-0 Vard | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Mar 25, 2023 | Vard 4-4 Os | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Vard score 2.0 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Os score 4.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 81% probability of over 2.5 goals and 78% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vard | 2.0 | 2.1 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Os | 4.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vard sit 6th in 3. Division - Girone 3 (25 points from 16 matches) and Os sit 1st (39 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Os | 16 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 63 | 29 | 39 |
| 6 | Vard | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 30 | 25 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vard vs Os?
- The Footlab model makes Os the favourite at 48%, against 20% for a draw and 31% for Vard.
- Where and when is Vard vs Os played?
- Vard vs Os is played on August 29, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Sakkestad gras, in the 3. Division - Girone 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 81% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.