Varegg vs Djerv: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 3Regular Season - 17Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Stemmemyren kunstgressbane, Bergen
The Footlab model makes Djerv the favourite at 52%, against 20% for a draw and 28% for Varegg. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Varegg vs Djerv?
Djerv starts as the favourite with a 195-point Elo edge (1,751 vs 1,556).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Varegg have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Djerv have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Sogndal II(away) | 1-3 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Askøy(home) | 1-3 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Fyllingsdalen(away) | 4-0 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Fana(home) | 4-2 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Os(away) | 0-4 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nord(away) | 4-0 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fyllingsdalen(home) | 3-0 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Vard(away) | 3-1 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Åsane II(home) | 3-1 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Fana(away) | 3-4 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Varegg win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Djerv win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Djerv 3-2 Varegg | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Varegg score 1.4 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Djerv score 2.4 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Varegg | 1.4 | 2.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Djerv | 2.4 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Varegg sit 13th in 3. Division - Girone 3 (12 points from 16 matches) and Djerv sit 3rd (29 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Djerv | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 37 | 21 | 29 |
| 13 | Varegg | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 34 | 12 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Varegg vs Djerv?
- The Footlab model makes Djerv the favourite at 52%, against 20% for a draw and 28% for Varegg.
- Where and when is Varegg vs Djerv played?
- Varegg vs Djerv is played on August 29, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Stemmemyren kunstgressbane, in the 3. Division - Girone 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.