Vard vs Varegg: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 3Regular Season - 26Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Sakkestad gras, Haugesund
The Footlab AI model makes Vard the favourite at 67%, against 16% for a draw and 17% for Varegg. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vard vs Varegg?
Vard starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,694 vs 1,591).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Vard vs Varegg
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Vard
4-3-3- 11T. Dvergsdal
- 7S. Jensen
- 9M. Alvsaker
- 19A. Eide
- 8T. Bjornebye
- 18A. Hauge
- 6P. Banda
- 3S. Helgesen
- 17K. Apeland
- 2A. Lønning
- 1S. Strand
Varegg
Not enough data to predict the Varegg lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 03:53 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vard have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Varegg have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Åsane II(away) | 5-1 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Stord(away) | 2-1 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Fana(home) | 3-2 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Sogndal II(away) | 4-2 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Førde(home) | 9-0 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Stord(home) | 2-3 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Brann II(away) | 2-1 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Os(home) | 4-2 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Gneist(away) | 2-2 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Sogndal II(home) | 2-0 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Vard wins, 1 draw, 0 Varegg wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 28, 2026 | Varegg 1-1 Vard | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Vard score 2.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Varegg score 1.8 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 82% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vard | 2.7 | 2.1 | 2 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
| Varegg | 1.8 | 1.8 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vard sit 4th in 3. Division - Girone 3 (41 points from 23 matches) and Varegg sit 11th (23 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Vard | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 62 | 42 | 41 |
| 11 | Varegg | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 37 | 46 | 23 |
A question about Vard vs Varegg?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vard vs Varegg?
- The Footlab AI model makes Vard the favourite at 67%, against 16% for a draw and 17% for Varegg.
- Where and when is Vard vs Varegg played?
- Vard vs Varegg is played on November 1, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Sakkestad gras, in the 3. Division - Girone 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 82% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.