Vargas Torres vs Mushuc Runa SC: result 0-1 and analysis
Copa EcuadorQuarter-finalsKick-off on August 3, 2022 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Folke Anderson, Esmeraldas
Full time
What was the result of Vargas Torres vs Mushuc Runa SC?
Mushuc Runa SC won 0-1 on August 3, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 21′M. AlonsoMushuc Runa SC
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, Vargas Torres have 1 win, 3 draws and 0 defeats; Mushuc Runa SC have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 3, 2022 | Aampetra(home) | 0-0 | Copa Ecuador |
| Jun 4, 2022 | Tecnico Universitario(home) | 2-2 | Copa Ecuador |
| May 21, 2022 | Puerto Quito(home) | 3-0 | Copa Ecuador |
| May 15, 2022 | Puerto Quito(away) | 1-1 | Copa Ecuador |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2022 | Cumbayá(away) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| Jul 24, 2022 | Tecnico Universitario(home) | 0-0 | Liga Pro |
| Jul 21, 2022 | Cumbayá(home) | 1-0 | Copa Ecuador |
| Jul 17, 2022 | 9 de Octubre(home) | 3-1 | Liga Pro |
| Jul 9, 2022 | Universidad Catolica(away) | 1-2 | Liga Pro |
How many goals should we expect?
Vargas Torres score 1.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 4; Mushuc Runa SC score 1.2 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vargas Torres | 1.5 | 0.8 | 2 | 2/4 | 2/4 |
| Mushuc Runa SC | 1.2 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy