Varketili vs Merani Tbilisi: prediction and stats
Liga 3Regular Season - 28Kick-off on November 20, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Varketili Stadium, Tbilisi
The Footlab AI model makes Varketili the favourite at 72%, against 19% for a draw and 9% for Merani Tbilisi. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,056 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Varketili vs Merani Tbilisi?
Varketili starts as the favourite with a 195-point Elo edge (1,478 vs 1,283).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Varketili vs Merani Tbilisi
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Varketili
4-3-3- ZZ. Basilashvili
- LL. Shilakadze
- MM. Ramishvili
- GG. Shubitidze
- ZZ. Golubiani
- KK. Tsikalanovi
- GG. Bunturi
- BB. Mikeladze
- LL. Chikvaidze
- GG. Narimanidze
- GG. Kutateladze
Merani Tbilisi
Not enough data to predict the Merani Tbilisi lineup.
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 03:21 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Varketili have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Merani Tbilisi have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Guria(away) | 0-0 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Gonio(away) | 0-1 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Lokomotivi Tbilisi(away) | 3-3 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Iveria Khashuri(home) | 5-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Iberia 2010(away) | 0-0 | Liga 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Gonio(away) | 0-3 | Liga 3 |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Saburtalo II(home) | 0-4 | Liga 3 |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Lokomotivi Tbilisi(away) | 2-1 | Liga 3 |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Iveria Khashuri(home) | 2-2 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Iberia 2010(away) | 2-2 | Liga 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Varketili win, 2 draws, 2 Merani Tbilisi wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 28, 2026 | Merani Tbilisi 0-2 Varketili | Liga 3 |
| Sep 5, 2025 | Merani Tbilisi 3-2 Varketili | Liga 3 |
| Apr 3, 2025 | Varketili 2-2 Merani Tbilisi | Liga 3 |
| Sep 19, 2024 | Varketili 1-2 Merani Tbilisi | Liga 3 |
| Mar 28, 2024 | Merani Tbilisi 0-0 Varketili | Liga 3 |
Last archived meeting: Merani Tbilisi vs Varketili on May 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Varketili score 2.4 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Merani Tbilisi score 1.5 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Varketili | 2.4 | 0.5 | 9 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Merani Tbilisi | 1.5 | 2.0 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Varketili sit 2nd in Liga 3 (59 points from 26 matches) and Merani Tbilisi sit 5th (43 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Varketili | 26 | 17 | 8 | 1 | 61 | 16 | 59 |
| 5 | Merani Tbilisi | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 41 | 37 | 43 |
A question about Varketili vs Merani Tbilisi?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Varketili vs Merani Tbilisi?
- The Footlab AI model makes Varketili the favourite at 72%, against 19% for a draw and 9% for Merani Tbilisi.
- Where and when is Varketili vs Merani Tbilisi played?
- Varketili vs Merani Tbilisi is played on November 20, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Varketili Stadium, in the Liga 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.