Guria vs Irao: prediction and stats
Liga 3Regular Season - 28Kick-off on November 20, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Stadioni Evgrapi Shevardnadze, Lanchkhuti
The Footlab AI model makes Guria the favourite at 74%, against 17% for a draw and 9% for Irao. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Guria vs Irao?
On Elo ratings, Guria has 1,426 points and Irao 1,340.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Guria vs Irao
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Guria
Not enough data to predict the Guria lineup.
Irao
Not enough data to predict the Irao lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 02:15 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guria have 12 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats; Irao have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Margveti 2006(away) | 4-0 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Dinamo Tbilisi II(home) | 2-0 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Gonio(home) | 2-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Betlemi(away) | 5-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Saburtalo II(home) | 2-0 | Liga 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Saburtalo II(home) | 3-3 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Lokomotivi Tbilisi(away) | 0-2 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Iberia 2010(away) | 2-3 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Kolkheti Khobi(home) | 1-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Margveti 2006(away) | 1-2 | Liga 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Guria win, 0 draws, 2 Irao wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 28, 2026 | Irao 1-2 Guria | Liga 3 |
| Nov 14, 2024 | Guria 0-4 Irao | Liga 3 |
| May 23, 2024 | Irao 4-1 Guria | Liga 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Guria score 2.9 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Irao score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guria | 2.9 | 0.6 | 8 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| Irao | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guria sit 1st in Liga 3 (54 points from 23 matches) and Irao sit 7th (35 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guria | 23 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 67 | 11 | 54 |
| 7 | Irao | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 39 | 28 | 35 |
A question about Guria vs Irao?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Guria vs Irao?
- The Footlab AI model makes Guria the favourite at 74%, against 17% for a draw and 9% for Irao.
- Where and when is Guria vs Irao played?
- Guria vs Irao is played on November 20, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Stadioni Evgrapi Shevardnadze, in the Liga 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.