Varnsdorf vs Jablonec II: prediction and stats
3. liga - CFL BGroup B - 7Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Stadion v Kotlině, Varnsdorf
The Footlab model makes Varnsdorf the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Jablonec II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Varnsdorf vs Jablonec II?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Varnsdorf (1,760) and Jablonec II (1,707).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Varnsdorf have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Jablonec II have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chrudim(away) | 1-3 | 3. liga - CFL B |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Brandýs nad Labem(away) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Benátky nad Jizerou(home) | 1-0 | 3. liga - CFL B |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Štětí(away) | 6-0 | Cup |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Hradec Králové II(home) | 5-0 | 3. liga - CFL B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Velké Hamry(home) | 6-0 | 3. liga - CFL B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Neratovice-Byškovice(away) | 1-1 | 3. liga - CFL B |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Horní Ředice(home) | 2-0 | 3. liga - CFL B |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sparta Praha II(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Admira Praha(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Varnsdorf win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Jablonec II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Jablonec II 3-3 Varnsdorf | 3. liga - CFL B |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Varnsdorf 1-2 Jablonec II | 3. liga - CFL B |
| Jul 8, 2023 | Varnsdorf 6-0 Jablonec II | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Jablonec II vs Varnsdorf on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Varnsdorf score 2.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Jablonec II score 2.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Varnsdorf | 2.3 | 1.1 | 8 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Jablonec II | 2.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Varnsdorf sit 11th in 3. liga - CFL B (37 points from 32 matches) and Jablonec II sit 8th (39 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Jablonec II | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 49 | 62 | 39 |
| 11 | Varnsdorf | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 65 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Varnsdorf vs Jablonec II?
- The Footlab model makes Varnsdorf the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Jablonec II.
- Where and when is Varnsdorf vs Jablonec II played?
- Varnsdorf vs Jablonec II is played on September 19, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion v Kotlině, in the 3. liga - CFL B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.