Varzim vs Fafe: result 2-1 and analysis
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 20Kick-off on December 21, 2016 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Varzim Sport Club, Póvoa de Varzim
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What was the result of Varzim vs Fafe?
Varzim won 2-1 on December 21, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 6′D. LytvynFafe
- 69′K. ParksVarzim
- 76′Sandro Fernando Silva CunhaVarzim
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Varzim have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Fafe have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2016 | Famalicao(away) | 2-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 10, 2016 | Cova De Piedade(home) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 4, 2016 | SC Covilha(away) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 27, 2016 | Guimaraes B(home) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 23, 2016 | FC Porto B(away) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2016 | GIL Vicente(home) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 10, 2016 | Academico Viseu(away) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 5, 2016 | Vizela(home) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 28, 2016 | Benfica B(away) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 13, 2016 | Cova De Piedade(home) | 1-3 | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Varzim score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Fafe score 0.9 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Varzim | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Fafe | 0.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy