Vasco DA Gama vs Atletico Paranaense: result 3-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 30Kick-off on July 17, 2010 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Estádio São Januário, Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro
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What was the result of Vasco DA Gama vs Atletico Paranaense?
Vasco DA Gama won 3-1 on July 17, 2010.
Goalscorers
- 19′Jonathan GuimarâesVasco DA Gama
- 25′NunesVasco DA Gama (pen.)
- 45′Bruno Menezes SoaresAtletico Paranaense
- 62′Leonardo David de MouraVasco DA Gama
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Vasco DA Gama have 1 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Atletico Paranaense have 2, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 15, 2010 | Goias(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Jun 6, 2010 | Santos(away) | 0-4 | Serie A |
| Jun 4, 2010 | Guarani Campinas(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| May 30, 2010 | Botafogo(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| May 28, 2010 | Internacional(home) | 3-2 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 14, 2010 | Cruzeiro(home) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Jun 5, 2010 | Vitoria(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Jun 2, 2010 | Botafogo(home) | 3-2 | Serie A |
| May 30, 2010 | Internacional(away) | 1-4 | Serie A |
| May 28, 2010 | Atletico Goianiense(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Vasco DA Gama score 0.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 8; Atletico Paranaense score 1.3 and concede 2.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vasco DA Gama | 0.6 | 1.5 | 2 | 3/8 | 3/8 |
| Atletico Paranaense | 1.3 | 2.1 | 0 | 6/8 | 6/8 |
Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vasco DA Gama sit 19th in Serie A (22 points from 23 matches) and Atletico Paranaense sit 3rd (41 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Atletico Paranaense | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 20 | 41 |
| 19 | Vasco DA Gama | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 38 | 22 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy