Vitoria vs Sao Paulo: result 3-2 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 30Kick-off on July 17, 2010 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Manoel Barradas, Salvador, Bahia
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What was the result of Vitoria vs Sao Paulo?
Vitoria won 3-2 on July 17, 2010.
Goalscorers
- 13′Ai KesenVitoria
- 38′Jean RaphaelSao Paulo
- 47′Cleber Schwenck TieneVitoria
- 57′115661Vitoria
- 61′Fernando Lucio da CostaSao Paulo
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Vitoria have 2 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Sao Paulo have 3, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 14, 2010 | Gremio(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Jun 5, 2010 | Atletico Paranaense(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Jun 2, 2010 | Fluminense(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| May 29, 2010 | Avai(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| May 26, 2010 | Atletico-MG(home) | 4-3 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 14, 2010 | Avai(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Jun 6, 2010 | Gremio(home) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Jun 3, 2010 | Goias(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| May 30, 2010 | Guarani Campinas(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| May 26, 2010 | Palmeiras(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Vitoria score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 8; Sao Paulo score 1.3 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitoria | 1.0 | 1.1 | 2 | 4/8 | 2/8 |
| Sao Paulo | 1.3 | 1.0 | 3 | 5/8 | 4/8 |
Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vitoria sit 12th in Serie A (29 points from 24 matches) and Sao Paulo sit 13th (27 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Vitoria | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 23 | 35 | 29 |
| 13 | Sao Paulo | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 26 | 27 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy