Vasco DA Gama vs Bahia: result 3-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 16Kick-off on September 24, 2025 at 10:30 PM (UTC)Estádio São Januário, Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro
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What was the result of Vasco DA Gama vs Bahia?
Vasco DA Gama won 3-1 on September 24, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 31′M. SanabriaBahia
- 45′Philippe CoutinhoVasco DA Gama
- 60′J. RodríguezVasco DA Gama
- 77′Luciano JubaVasco DA Gama (o.g.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vasco DA Gama have 3 wins, 9 draws and 3 defeats; Bahia have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2025 | Flamengo(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Ceara(home) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Botafogo(away) | 1-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Sport Recife(away) | 3-2 | Serie A |
| Aug 28, 2025 | Botafogo(home) | 1-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2025 | Ceara(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 15, 2025 | Cruzeiro(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 10, 2025 | Fluminense(away) | 0-2 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Confiança(home) | 5-0 | Copa do Nordeste |
| Sep 4, 2025 | Confiança(away) | 4-1 | Copa do Nordeste |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Vasco DA Gama win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Bahia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2024 | Vasco DA Gama 3-2 Bahia | Serie A |
| Jun 27, 2024 | Bahia 2-1 Vasco DA Gama | Serie A |
| Sep 3, 2023 | Bahia 1-1 Vasco DA Gama | Serie A |
| May 1, 2023 | Vasco DA Gama 0-1 Bahia | Serie A |
| Aug 28, 2022 | Bahia 2-1 Vasco DA Gama | Serie B |
| May 15, 2022 | Vasco DA Gama 1-0 Bahia | Serie B |
Last archived meeting: Vasco DA Gama vs Bahia on Oct 29, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Vasco DA Gama score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bahia score 1.8 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vasco DA Gama | 1.7 | 1.3 | 2 | 12/15 | 6/15 |
| Bahia | 1.8 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vasco DA Gama sit 19th in Serie A (22 points from 22 matches) and Bahia sit 6th (34 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bahia | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 32 | 28 | 34 |
| 19 | Vasco DA Gama | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | 22 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy