Vatan Sport vs Werder Bremen III: prediction and stats
Oberliga - BremenBremen - 17Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)BSA Gröpelingen, Bremen
The Footlab model makes Vatan Sport the favourite at 45%, against 19% for a draw and 36% for Werder Bremen III. The most likely score is 2-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vatan Sport vs Werder Bremen III?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Vatan Sport (1,646) and Werder Bremen III (1,660).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vatan Sport have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Werder Bremen III have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | BTS Neustadt(away) | 6-0 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Geestemünde(home) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Werder Bremen III(away) | 5-3 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 15, 2026 | Hemelingen(away) | 2-7 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 10, 2026 | Aumund-Vegesack(home) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Blumenthaler SV(home) | 1-7 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 11, 2026 | OSC Bremerhaven(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Vatan Sport(home) | 3-5 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 15, 2026 | Oberneuland(away) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 10, 2026 | Sebaldsbrück(away) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Bremen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Vatan Sport win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Werder Bremen III win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Werder Bremen III 3-5 Vatan Sport | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Vatan Sport 3-1 Werder Bremen III | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Werder Bremen III 3-2 Vatan Sport | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 3, 2025 | Werder Bremen III 4-4 Vatan Sport | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Nov 17, 2024 | Vatan Sport 4-3 Werder Bremen III | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Apr 23, 2023 | Werder Bremen III 3-1 Vatan Sport | Oberliga - Bremen |
Last archived meeting: Werder Bremen III vs Vatan Sport on Aug 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Vatan Sport score 2.2 and concede 2.9 goals per match over their last 15; Werder Bremen III score 2.5 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 86% probability of over 2.5 goals and 83% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vatan Sport | 2.2 | 2.9 | 1 | 12/15 | 15/15 |
| Werder Bremen III | 2.5 | 2.7 | 0 | 13/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vatan Sport sit 3rd in Oberliga - Bremen (7 points from 3 matches) and Werder Bremen III sit 16th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Vatan Sport | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 7 |
| 16 | Werder Bremen III | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vatan Sport vs Werder Bremen III?
- The Footlab model makes Vatan Sport the favourite at 45%, against 19% for a draw and 36% for Werder Bremen III.
- Where and when is Vatan Sport vs Werder Bremen III played?
- Vatan Sport vs Werder Bremen III is played on December 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at BSA Gröpelingen, in the Oberliga - Bremen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 86% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.