Blumenthaler SV vs Geestemünde: prediction and stats
Oberliga - BremenBremen - 17Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)BZA Burgwallstadion, Bremen
The Footlab model makes Blumenthaler SV the favourite at 85%, against 9% for a draw and 6% for Geestemünde. The most likely score is 4-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Blumenthaler SV vs Geestemünde?
Blumenthaler SV starts as the favourite with a 263-point Elo edge (1,958 vs 1,695).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Blumenthaler SV have 11 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Geestemünde have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Werder Bremen III(away) | 7-1 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Schwachhausen(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Geestemünde(away) | 7-1 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Eimsbütteler TV(away) | 0-6 | Oberliga - Promotion Round |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Germania Egestorf(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Promotion Round |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Schwachhausen(away) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Vatan Sport(away) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Blumenthaler SV(home) | 1-7 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 15, 2026 | Union Bremen(home) | 4-4 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 10, 2026 | Eiche Horn(away) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Bremen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Blumenthaler SV win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Geestemünde win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Geestemünde 1-7 Blumenthaler SV | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Geestemünde 2-3 Blumenthaler SV | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Blumenthaler SV 3-0 Geestemünde | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Blumenthaler SV 2-2 Geestemünde | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Geestemünde 3-2 Blumenthaler SV | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Feb 11, 2024 | Blumenthaler SV 2-1 Geestemünde | Oberliga - Bremen |
Last archived meeting: Geestemünde vs Blumenthaler SV on Aug 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Blumenthaler SV score 3.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Geestemünde score 2.1 and concede 3.6. The model gives a 91% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blumenthaler SV | 3.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
| Geestemünde | 2.1 | 3.6 | 1 | 13/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Blumenthaler SV sit 1st in Oberliga - Bremen (9 points from 3 matches) and Geestemünde sit 13th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blumenthaler SV | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 4 | 9 |
| 13 | Geestemünde | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Blumenthaler SV vs Geestemünde?
- The Footlab model makes Blumenthaler SV the favourite at 85%, against 9% for a draw and 6% for Geestemünde.
- Where and when is Blumenthaler SV vs Geestemünde played?
- Blumenthaler SV vs Geestemünde is played on December 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at BZA Burgwallstadion, in the Oberliga - Bremen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 91% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.