Vegalta Sendai vs Imabari: prediction and stats
J2 LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 21, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Yurtec Stadium Sendai, Sendai
The Footlab AI model makes Vegalta Sendai the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Imabari. The most likely score is 1-1. If Vegalta Sendai wins, the most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,475 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vegalta Sendai vs Imabari?
Vegalta Sendai starts as the favourite with a 215-point Elo edge (1,965 vs 1,751).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Vegalta Sendai vs Imabari
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Vegalta Sendai
3-1-4-2- 27H. Iwabuchi
- 18T. Umeki
- 8H. Takeda
- 7M. Nakajima
- 42H. Ishii
- 37Y. Sugiyama
- 80R. Asakura
- 19Mateus Moraes
- 22R. Takada
- 5M. Sugata
- 33A. Hayashi
Imabari
4-2-3-1- 10Edigar Junio
- 14Y. Komai
- 6Y. Kajiura
- 17K. Mochii
- 8K. Mori
- 26A. Paločević
- 35K. Kushibiki
- 99Gabriel Gomes
- 15K. Kikuchi
- 29Y. Maruyama
- 18G. Ito
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 02:32 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vegalta Sendai have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Imabari have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Montedio Yamagata(away) | 1-0 | J2 League |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Jubilo Iwata(home) | 2-1 | J2 League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Iwaki(away) | 2-0 | J2 League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Tochigi City(away) | 3-1 | J2 League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Consadole Sapporo(home) | 1-1 | J2 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tokushima Vortis(away) | 2-1 | J2 League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Tochigi City(away) | 2-1 | J2 League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Shonan Bellmare(home) | 1-2 | J2 League |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Kashiwa Reysol(away) | 0-4 | Emperor Cup |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Yokohama FC(away) | 1-2 | J2 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Vegalta Sendai wins, 1 draw, 1 Imabari win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2025 | Imabari 3-2 Vegalta Sendai | J2 League |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Vegalta Sendai 0-0 Imabari | J2 League |
Last archived meeting: Imabari vs Vegalta Sendai on Nov 2, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Vegalta Sendai score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Imabari score 1.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vegalta Sendai | 1.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Imabari | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vegalta Sendai sit 1st in J2 League (23 points from 10 matches) and Imabari sit 17th (10 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 23 |
| 17 | Imabari | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 10 |
A question about Vegalta Sendai vs Imabari?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vegalta Sendai vs Imabari?
- The Footlab AI model makes Vegalta Sendai the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Imabari.
- Where and when is Vegalta Sendai vs Imabari played?
- Vegalta Sendai vs Imabari is played on October 21, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Yurtec Stadium Sendai, in the J2 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 21, 2026Montedio YamagatavsConsadole Sapporo
- Oct 21, 2026Shonan BellmarevsIwaki
- Oct 21, 2026Tokushima VortisvsVanraure Hachinohe
- Oct 21, 2026Ventforet KofuvsYokohama FC
- Oct 21, 2026Albirex NiigatavsSagan Tosu
- Oct 21, 2026Omiya ArdijavsKataller Toyama
- Oct 21, 2026Tochigi CityvsFujieda MYFC
- Oct 21, 2026Jubilo IwatavsOita Trinita