Velarde vs Barquereño: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 19Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de La Maruca, Muriedas
The Footlab AI model makes Velarde the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Barquereño. The most likely score is 1-1. If Velarde wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,466 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Velarde vs Barquereño?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Velarde (1,578) and Barquereño (1,615).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Velarde vs Barquereño
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Velarde
4-3-3- JJaime Fernández
- BBorja Menaut
- ÃÃlvaro Alonso
- JJorge Gómez
- MManuel Cuesta
- JJuan González - Madroño Lostal
- MMiki Palleiro
- OOjembarrena
- DDiego Guemes
- NNicolás Sainz
- MMarcos Parada
Barquereño
Not enough data to predict the Barquereño lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 06:11 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Velarde have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Barquereño have 1, 3 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sámano(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cayón(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Guarnizo(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Vimenor(home) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Barquereño(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Selaya(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Laredo(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Bezana(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Torina(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Velarde(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Velarde win, 0 draws, 0 Barquereño wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Barquereño 0-1 Velarde | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Barquereño vs Velarde on Sep 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Velarde score 0.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Barquereño score 0.7 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Velarde | 0.6 | 1.9 | 5 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Barquereño | 0.7 | 2.3 | 1 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Velarde sit 16th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 (4 points from 6 matches) and Barquereño sit 17th (4 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Velarde | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 4 |
| 17 | Barquereño | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 4 |
A question about Velarde vs Barquereño?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Velarde vs Barquereño?
- The Footlab AI model makes Velarde the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Barquereño.
- Where and when is Velarde vs Barquereño played?
- Velarde vs Barquereño is played on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de La Maruca, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.