Solares vs Castro: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 19Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal La Estación, Medio Cudeyo
The Footlab AI model makes Solares the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Castro. The most likely score is 1-1. If Solares wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Solares vs Castro?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Solares (1,605) and Castro (1,651).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Solares vs Castro
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Solares
4-3-3- SSergio Peredo
- JJaime Prieto
- DDiego Torre
- GGuillermo Nalda Amor
- PPepo
- JJavi Bada
- ÁÁlex Bolado
- BBorja Rubio
- NNacho Lorenzo
- RRoberto Carral
- JJony Rodriguez
Castro
Not enough data to predict the Castro lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 02:24 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Solares have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Castro have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Naval Reinosa(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Escobedo(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Atlético Albericia(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Tropezón(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Castro(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Atlético Albericia(away) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Tropezón(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Atlético Mineros(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Revilla(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Solares(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Solares wins, 1 draw, 3 Castro wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Castro 2-0 Solares | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Castro 4-0 Solares | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Solares 1-0 Castro | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Mar 5, 2023 | Castro 4-4 Solares | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 29, 2022 | Solares 1-0 Castro | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Jan 23, 2021 | Castro 2-1 Solares | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Solares score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Castro score 1.0 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solares | 1.0 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Castro | 1.0 | 1.6 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Solares sit 12th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 (5 points from 6 matches) and Castro sit 13th (5 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Solares | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 5 |
| 13 | Castro | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 5 |
A question about Solares vs Castro?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Solares vs Castro?
- The Footlab AI model makes Solares the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Castro.
- Where and when is Solares vs Castro played?
- Solares vs Castro is played on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal La Estación, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.