Velden vs Völkermarkt: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - SouthSouth - 9Kick-off on September 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Sportplatz Velden, Velden am Wörthersee
The Footlab model makes Velden the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Völkermarkt. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Velden vs Völkermarkt?
Velden starts as the favourite with a 118-point Elo edge (1,711 vs 1,593).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Velden have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Völkermarkt have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Wolfsberg(home) | 4-0 | Regionalliga - South |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Treibach(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - South |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Völkermarkt(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Bleiburg(home) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - South |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Austria Klagenfurt(home) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Donau Klagenfurt(home) | 5-3 | Regionalliga - South |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Wolfsberg(away) | 5-0 | Regionalliga - South |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Velden(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Treibach(away) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - South |
| Jun 7, 2026 | St. Veit / Glan(away) | 1-2 | Landesliga - Karnten |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Velden win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Völkermarkt win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | Völkermarkt 1-1 Velden | Regionalliga - South |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Völkermarkt 2-1 Velden | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 30, 2025 | Völkermarkt 2-3 Velden | Landesliga - Karnten |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Velden 4-0 Völkermarkt | Landesliga - Karnten |
| May 30, 2024 | Velden 1-3 Völkermarkt | Landesliga - Karnten |
| Oct 13, 2023 | Völkermarkt 1-1 Velden | Landesliga - Karnten |
How many goals should we expect?
Velden score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Völkermarkt score 2.3 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Velden | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Völkermarkt | 2.3 | 2.0 | 2 | 10/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Velden sit 4th in Regionalliga - South (8 points from 4 matches) and Völkermarkt sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Velden | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 8 |
| 5 | Völkermarkt | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Velden vs Völkermarkt?
- The Footlab model makes Velden the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Völkermarkt.
- Where and when is Velden vs Völkermarkt played?
- Velden vs Völkermarkt is played on September 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Sportplatz Velden, in the Regionalliga - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.