Veles vs FK Neftekhimik: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 22Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Avangard, Domodedovo
The Footlab AI model makes Veles the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for FK Neftekhimik. The most likely score is 1-1. If Veles wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 4,847 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Veles vs FK Neftekhimik?
Veles starts as the favourite with a 111-point Elo edge (1,797 vs 1,686).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Veles vs FK Neftekhimik
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Veles
4-2-3-1- 9K. Giraev
- 22Y. Zavezen
- 77O. Smirnov
- 90V. Galkin
- 11K. Korolkov
- 97A. Shubin
- 23K. Skvortsov
- 5A. Koloskov
- 15K. Pliev
- 80M. Rybalko
- 41S. Samok
FK Neftekhimik
3-4-2-1- 14I. Mashukov
- 8D. Sukhomlinov
- 19L. Sharifullin
- 38V. Aleynikov
- 96N. Vasilyev
- 99A. Teshkin
- 85I. Pyatkin
- 6N. Pechenkin
- 24A. Kakhidze
- 28P. Platonov
- 1A. Golubev
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 08:04 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Veles have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; FK Neftekhimik have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Spartak Kostroma(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Volga Ulyanovsk(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Shinnik Yaroslavl(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ural(away) | 2-1 | First League |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Volga Ulyanovsk(home) | 1-2 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Torpedo Moskva(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Ska-khabarovsk(home) | 0-2 | First League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Leningradets(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | KAMAZ(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Chelyabinsk(home) | 2-4 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Veles wins, 0 draws, 4 FK Neftekhimik wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 2026 | FK Neftekhimik 0-1 Veles | First League |
| Mar 12, 2023 | Veles 4-1 FK Neftekhimik | First League |
| Aug 21, 2022 | FK Neftekhimik 2-0 Veles | First League |
| Mar 19, 2022 | FK Neftekhimik 2-1 Veles | First League |
| Sep 11, 2021 | Veles 1-2 FK Neftekhimik | First League |
| May 2, 2021 | FK Neftekhimik 2-0 Veles | First League |
Last archived meeting: FK Neftekhimik vs Veles on Jul 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Veles score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; FK Neftekhimik score 0.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veles | 1.2 | 1.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| FK Neftekhimik | 0.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Veles sit 6th in First League (28 points from 17 matches) and FK Neftekhimik sit 17th (13 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Veles | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 28 |
| 17 | FK Neftekhimik | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 24 | 13 |
A question about Veles vs FK Neftekhimik?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Veles vs FK Neftekhimik?
- The Footlab AI model makes Veles the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for FK Neftekhimik.
- Where and when is Veles vs FK Neftekhimik played?
- Veles vs FK Neftekhimik is played on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Avangard, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.