FC Sochi vs Rotor Volgograd: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 22Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Olimpiyskiy Stadion Fisht, Sochi
The Footlab AI model makes FC Sochi the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Rotor Volgograd. The most likely score is 1-1. If FC Sochi wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,564 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Sochi vs Rotor Volgograd?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate FC Sochi (1,841) and Rotor Volgograd (1,836).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for FC Sochi vs Rotor Volgograd
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
FC Sochi
3-4-2-1- 9Z. Fedorov
- 8M. Ignatov
- 66A. Metsiev
- 5A. Osipov
- 6M. Kuzmin
- 97R. Pasevich
- 29R. Ezhov
- 28R. Magal
- 44N. Stojić
- 27K. Zaika
- 51T. Mitrov
Rotor Volgograd
4-1-4-1- 11A. Eldarushev
- 10A. Simonyan
- 18I. Rodionov
- 5A. Troshechkin
- 6M. Umnikov
- 26R. Baytukov
- 17N. Pokidyshev
- 24A. Kleshchenko
- 2I. Manelov
- 25Emmersón
- 13N. Chagrov
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 05:15 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Sochi have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Rotor Volgograd have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Rotor Volgograd(away) | 1-0 | First League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | FC UFA(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Ska-khabarovsk(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Veles(away) | 2-1 | First League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Dinamo St. Petersburg(away) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | FC Sochi(home) | 0-1 | First League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Volga Ulyanovsk(home) | 2-2 | First League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Tekstilshchik(away) | 2-0 | First League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Enisey(home) | 4-0 | First League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Volna Nizhegorodskaya(away) | 0-2 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 FC Sochi wins, 3 draws, 0 Rotor Volgograd wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Rotor Volgograd 0-1 FC Sochi | First League |
| Feb 14, 2025 | FC Sochi 1-1 Rotor Volgograd | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 8, 2024 | Rotor Volgograd 1-1 FC Sochi | First League |
| Sep 14, 2024 | FC Sochi 0-0 Rotor Volgograd | First League |
| May 7, 2021 | FC Sochi 2-1 Rotor Volgograd | Premier League |
| Aug 22, 2020 | Rotor Volgograd 1-2 FC Sochi | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Rotor Volgograd vs FC Sochi on Oct 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Sochi score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Rotor Volgograd score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Sochi | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Rotor Volgograd | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Sochi sit 2nd in First League (29 points from 14 matches) and Rotor Volgograd sit 9th (18 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FC Sochi | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 14 | 29 |
| 9 | Rotor Volgograd | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 17 | 18 |
A question about FC Sochi vs Rotor Volgograd?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Sochi vs Rotor Volgograd?
- The Footlab AI model makes FC Sochi the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Rotor Volgograd.
- Where and when is FC Sochi vs Rotor Volgograd played?
- FC Sochi vs Rotor Volgograd is played on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Olimpiyskiy Stadion Fisht, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.