Velež Nevesinje vs Kozara Gradiška: prediction and stats
1st League - RSRS - 19Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Gradski stadion Nevesinje, Nevesinje
The Footlab model makes Velež Nevesinje the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Kozara Gradiška. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Velež Nevesinje vs Kozara Gradiška?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Velež Nevesinje (1,278) and Kozara Gradiška (1,304).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Velež Nevesinje have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Kozara Gradiška have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Slavija(home) | 1-1 | 1st League - RS |
| May 30, 2026 | FK Romanija Pale(away) | 4-3 | 1st League - RS |
| May 27, 2026 | Sutjeska Foča(home) | 6-2 | 1st League - RS |
| May 23, 2026 | Zvijezda 09(away) | 1-6 | 1st League - RS |
| May 19, 2026 | FK Vlasenica(home) | 2-1 | 1st League - RS |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Famos Vojkovići(away) | 1-0 | 1st League - RS |
| May 30, 2026 | BSK Banja Luka(home) | 3-1 | 1st League - RS |
| May 23, 2026 | Laktaši(away) | 0-2 | 1st League - RS |
| May 16, 2026 | Slavija(home) | 0-3 | 1st League - RS |
| May 9, 2026 | Drina Zvornik(away) | 1-1 | 1st League - RS |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Velež Nevesinje win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Kozara Gradiška win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2026 | Velež Nevesinje 1-1 Kozara Gradiška | 1st League - RS |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Kozara Gradiška 4-3 Velež Nevesinje | 1st League - RS |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Kozara Gradiška 2-1 Velež Nevesinje | 1st League - RS |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Velež Nevesinje 0-0 Kozara Gradiška | 1st League - RS |
| Mar 27, 2024 | Kozara Gradiška 5-0 Velež Nevesinje | 1st League - RS |
| Sep 9, 2023 | Velež Nevesinje 1-0 Kozara Gradiška | 1st League - RS |
Last archived meeting: Velež Nevesinje vs Kozara Gradiška on Apr 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Velež Nevesinje score 1.9 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Kozara Gradiška score 0.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Velež Nevesinje | 1.9 | 2.0 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Kozara Gradiška | 0.7 | 1.0 | 5 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Velež Nevesinje sit 3rd in 1st League - RS (39 points from 29 matches) and Kozara Gradiška sit 4th (40 points from 29 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Velež Nevesinje | 29 | 12 | 3 | 14 | 43 | 54 | 39 |
| 4 | Kozara Gradiška | 29 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 34 | 40 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Velež Nevesinje vs Kozara Gradiška?
- The Footlab model makes Velež Nevesinje the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Kozara Gradiška.
- Where and when is Velež Nevesinje vs Kozara Gradiška played?
- Velež Nevesinje vs Kozara Gradiška is played on March 6, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski stadion Nevesinje, in the 1st League - RS.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.