Match

Velez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo: prediction and stats

Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 15Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio José Amalfitani, Capital Federal, Ciudad de Buenos Aires

Velez SarsfieldSan Lorenzo

The Footlab AI model makes Velez Sarsfield the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for San Lorenzo. The most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Velez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo?

Velez Sarsfield starts as the favourite with a 133-point Elo edge (1,990 vs 1,857).

54%26%20%
Velez Sarsfield winDrawSan Lorenzo win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Velez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Velez Sarsfield

4-2-3-1
  1. 77R. Martínez
  1. 29R. Aliendro
  2. 8L. Robertone
  3. 22M. Lanzini
  4. 37J. Policella
  5. 39T. Aguirre
  1. 3Elías Gómez
  2. 4J. García
  3. 32Thiago Silveor
  4. 16L. Magallán
  1. 1T. Marchiori

San Lorenzo

3-4-1-2
  1. 9A. Cuello
  2. 29R. Auzmendi
  1. 24N. Tripichio
  2. 38F. Farías
  3. 5I. Perruzzi
  4. 6M. de Ritis
  5. 8M. Insaurralde
  1. 2D. Arboleda
  2. 16G. Corujo
  3. 19E. Amor
  1. 25J. Devecchi

Computed on October 8, 2026 at 09:48 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Velez Sarsfield have 6 wins, 8 draws and 1 defeat; San Lorenzo have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Velez Sarsfield
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 5, 2026Platense(home)2-2Liga Profesional Argentina
Sep 21, 2026Tigre(home)3-2Liga Profesional Argentina
Sep 11, 2026Newells Old Boys(away)1-1Liga Profesional Argentina
Sep 6, 2026Estudiantes L.P.(home)1-0Liga Profesional Argentina
Sep 3, 2026Boca Juniors(home)0-0Copa Argentina
San Lorenzo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026Defensa Y Justicia(away)0-3Liga Profesional Argentina
Sep 20, 2026Boca Juniors(home)0-2Liga Profesional Argentina
Sep 13, 2026Independiente(away)1-1Liga Profesional Argentina
Sep 5, 2026Talleres Cordoba(home)1-0Liga Profesional Argentina
Sep 1, 2026Instituto Cordoba(away)0-1Liga Profesional Argentina

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Velez Sarsfield wins, 3 draws, 1 San Lorenzo win.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 20, 2026San Lorenzo 0-0 Velez SarsfieldLiga Profesional Argentina
Aug 7, 2025San Lorenzo 1-0 Velez SarsfieldLiga Profesional Argentina
Feb 8, 2025Velez Sarsfield 0-0 San LorenzoLiga Profesional Argentina
Sep 14, 2024San Lorenzo 0-1 Velez SarsfieldLiga Profesional Argentina
Aug 7, 2024San Lorenzo 1-3 Velez SarsfieldCopa Argentina
Apr 29, 2023Velez Sarsfield 0-0 San LorenzoLiga Profesional Argentina

Last archived meeting: San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield on Apr 20, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Velez Sarsfield score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; San Lorenzo score 0.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Velez Sarsfield1.30.959/154/15
San Lorenzo0.51.144/152/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Velez Sarsfield sit 2nd in Liga Profesional Argentina (21 points from 11 matches) and San Lorenzo sit 12th (11 points from 11 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Velez Sarsfield11560171121
12San Lorenzo1132641111

A question about Velez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Velez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo?
The Footlab AI model makes Velez Sarsfield the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for San Lorenzo.
Where and when is Velez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo played?
Velez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo is played on November 1, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio José Amalfitani, in the Liga Profesional Argentina.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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