Match

Boca Juniors vs River Plate: prediction and stats

Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 15Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Mâs Monumental, Buenos Aires

Boca JuniorsRiver Plate

The Footlab AI model makes Boca Juniors the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for River Plate. The most likely score is 1-1. If Boca Juniors wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Boca Juniors vs River Plate?

A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Boca Juniors (2,031) and River Plate (1,969).

37%29%34%
Boca Juniors winDrawRiver Plate win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Boca Juniors vs River Plate

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Boca Juniors

4-2-3-1
  1. 30E. Valencia
  1. 18M. Delgado
  2. 19L. Flores
  3. 25S. Ascacíbar
  4. 22S. Villa
  5. 15W. Alarcón
  1. 3L. Blanco
  2. 2L. Di Lollo
  3. 17L. Lozano
  4. 42F. Herrera
  1. 1Á. Montero

River Plate

4-1-3-2
  1. 10Á. Correa
  2. 9S. Driussi
  1. 50T. Andrada
  2. 26T. Galván
  3. 15F. Vera
  4. 23T. Almada
  1. 30N. Otamendi
  2. 28L. Martínez
  3. 29G. Montiel
  4. 21M. Acuña
  1. 41S. Beltrán

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 06:06 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Boca Juniors have 8 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeat; River Plate have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Boca Juniors
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 14, 2026Vasco DA Gama(home)0-1CONMEBOL Sudamericana
Oct 9, 2026Instituto Cordoba(away)2-2Liga Profesional Argentina
Oct 3, 2026Union Santa Fe(home)3-0Liga Profesional Argentina
Sep 27, 2026Racing Club(away)3-2Copa Argentina
Sep 20, 2026San Lorenzo(away)2-0Liga Profesional Argentina
River Plate
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 14, 2026Sarmiento Junin(away)1-1Liga Profesional Argentina
Oct 11, 2026Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto(home)1-0Liga Profesional Argentina
Sep 19, 2026Huracan(home)1-2Liga Profesional Argentina
Sep 12, 2026Atletico Tucuman(away)2-1Liga Profesional Argentina
Sep 6, 2026Independ. Rivadavia(home)3-1Liga Profesional Argentina

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Boca Juniors wins, 1 draw, 2 River Plate wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 19, 2026River Plate 0-1 Boca JuniorsLiga Profesional Argentina
Nov 9, 2025Boca Juniors 2-0 River PlateLiga Profesional Argentina
Apr 27, 2025River Plate 2-1 Boca JuniorsLiga Profesional Argentina
Sep 21, 2024Boca Juniors 0-1 River PlateLiga Profesional Argentina
Apr 21, 2024River Plate 2-3 Boca JuniorsCopa de la Liga Profesional
Feb 25, 2024River Plate 1-1 Boca JuniorsCopa de la Liga Profesional

Last archived meeting: River Plate vs Boca Juniors on Apr 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Boca Juniors score 1.8 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; River Plate score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Boca Juniors1.80.868/157/15
River Plate1.11.138/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Boca Juniors sit 3rd in Liga Profesional Argentina (21 points from 12 matches) and River Plate sit 9th (17 points from 12 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Boca JuniorsGroup A12561191321
9River PlateGroup B12525151317

A question about Boca Juniors vs River Plate?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Boca Juniors vs River Plate?
The Footlab AI model makes Boca Juniors the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for River Plate.
Where and when is Boca Juniors vs River Plate played?
Boca Juniors vs River Plate is played on November 1, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Mâs Monumental, in the Liga Profesional Argentina.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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