Sarmiento Junin vs Rosario Central: prediction and stats
Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 15Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Eva Perón de Junín, Junín, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab AI model makes Rosario Central the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Sarmiento Junin. The most likely score is 1-1. If Rosario Central wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,861 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sarmiento Junin vs Rosario Central?
Rosario Central starts as the favourite with a 162-point Elo edge (2,019 vs 1,857).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sarmiento Junin vs Rosario Central
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sarmiento Junin
4-3-3- 27J. Marabel
- 21J. Mavilla
- 10Jhon Rentería
- 15C. Zabala
- 19J. Contrera
- 16Mauricio Leonel Martínez
- 2J. Insaurralde
- 44R. Orihuela
- 3L. Suárez
- 8S. Salle
- 12T. Ayala
Rosario Central
4-2-3-1- 22E. Copetti
- 11Á. Di María
- 20V. Pizarro
- 8J. Campaz
- 5F. Ibarra
- 26G. Cantizano
- 13G. Ávila
- 46Ignacio Ovando
- 32E. Coronel
- 3A. Sandez
- 23J. Ledesma
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 03:52 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sarmiento Junin have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Rosario Central have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2026 | Barracas Central(home) | 1-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Oct 14, 2026 | River Plate(home) | 1-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Aldosivi(away) | 3-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Racing Club(away) | 1-3 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Belgrano Cordoba(home) | 1-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Atletico Tucuman(away) | 3-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Independ. Rivadavia(home) | 5-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Banfield(away) | 1-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Estudiantes L.P.(away) | 3-1 | Super Copa International |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Argentinos JRS(home) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Sarmiento Junin win, 0 draws, 5 Rosario Central wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Rosario Central 2-1 Sarmiento Junin | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Sarmiento Junin 0-1 Rosario Central | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Rosario Central 1-0 Sarmiento Junin | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 20, 2024 | Rosario Central 4-2 Sarmiento Junin | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Mar 3, 2023 | Sarmiento Junin 4-1 Rosario Central | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 8, 2022 | Rosario Central 1-0 Sarmiento Junin | Liga Profesional Argentina |
Last archived meeting: Rosario Central vs Sarmiento Junin on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sarmiento Junin score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Rosario Central score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarmiento Junin | 1.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Rosario Central | 1.5 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sarmiento Junin sit 5th in Liga Profesional Argentina (21 points from 13 matches) and Rosario Central sit 1st (25 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rosario Central | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 25 |
| 5 | Sarmiento Junin | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 21 |
A question about Sarmiento Junin vs Rosario Central?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sarmiento Junin vs Rosario Central?
- The Footlab AI model makes Rosario Central the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Sarmiento Junin.
- Where and when is Sarmiento Junin vs Rosario Central played?
- Sarmiento Junin vs Rosario Central is played on November 1, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Eva Perón de Junín, in the Liga Profesional Argentina.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.