Venezia vs Genoa: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 7, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Pierluigi Penzo, Venezia
The Footlab model makes Venezia the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Genoa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Venezia vs Genoa?
A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Venezia (2,069) and Genoa (1,991).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Venezia have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Genoa have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Lecce(home) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Modena(home) | 3-2 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stade Brestois 29(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Saint Etienne(away) | 3-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Galatasaray(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Napoli(home) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ascoli(home) | 4-1 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruna(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Bournemouth(away) | 1-10 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Leicester(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Venezia win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Genoa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2025 | Genoa 2-0 Venezia | Serie A |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Venezia 2-0 Genoa | Serie A |
| Jul 20, 2024 | Venezia 1-3 Genoa | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2023 | Genoa 1-4 Venezia | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 16, 2023 | Genoa 1-0 Venezia | Serie B |
| Aug 14, 2022 | Venezia 1-2 Genoa | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Venezia score 2.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Genoa score 1.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Venezia | 2.7 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Genoa | 1.0 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Venezia sit 19th in Serie A (0 points from 1 matches) and Genoa sit 18th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Genoa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 | Venezia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Venezia vs Genoa?
- The Footlab model makes Venezia the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Genoa.
- Where and when is Venezia vs Genoa played?
- Venezia vs Genoa is played on February 7, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Pierluigi Penzo, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.