Bologna vs AC Milan: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 7, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna
The Footlab AI model makes AC Milan the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Bologna. The most likely score is 1-1. If AC Milan wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,919 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bologna vs AC Milan?
AC Milan starts as the favourite with a 155-point Elo edge (2,181 vs 2,025).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bologna vs AC Milan
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bologna
3-4-2-1- 91R. Piccoli
- 28N. Cambiaghi
- 19L. Ferguson
- 4T. Pobega
- 33Juan Miranda
- 20N. Zortea
- 10F. Bernardeschi
- 16N. Casale
- 36M. Darmian
- 3A. Theate
- 1Ł. Skorupski
AC Milan
3-4-3- 12A. Rabiot
- 9Gonçalo Ramos
- 11C. Pulišić
- 21S. Chukwueze
- 80Y. Musah
- 22Diego Moreira
- 14L. Modrić
- 31S. Pavlović
- 34Mario Gila
- 5K. De Winter
- 16M. Maignan
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 05:30 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bologna have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; AC Milan have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Inter(home) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Lecce(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Torino(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Napoli(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Sassuolo(home) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Atalanta(home) | 3-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Red Bull Salzburg(away) | 4-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sassuolo(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Lecce(home) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Benfica(home) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Bologna wins, 1 draw, 3 AC Milan wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | Bologna 0-3 AC Milan | Serie A |
| Sep 14, 2025 | AC Milan 1-0 Bologna | Serie A |
| May 14, 2025 | AC Milan 0-1 Bologna | Coppa Italia |
| May 9, 2025 | AC Milan 3-1 Bologna | Serie A |
| Feb 27, 2025 | Bologna 2-1 AC Milan | Serie A |
| Jan 27, 2024 | AC Milan 2-2 Bologna | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Bologna score 1.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; AC Milan score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bologna | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| AC Milan | 1.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bologna sit 15th in Serie A (5 points from 7 matches) and AC Milan sit 4th (15 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | AC Milan | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 7 | 15 |
| 15 | Bologna | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 5 |
A question about Bologna vs AC Milan?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bologna vs AC Milan?
- The Footlab AI model makes AC Milan the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Bologna.
- Where and when is Bologna vs AC Milan played?
- Bologna vs AC Milan is played on February 7, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.