Genoa vs Venezia: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris, Genova
The Footlab AI model makes Genoa the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Venezia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Genoa wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Genoa vs Venezia?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Genoa (1,877) and Venezia (1,887).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Genoa vs Venezia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Genoa
3-4-2-1- 18M. Osmajić
- 32M. Frendrup
- 3K. Ehizibue
- 77M. Ellertsson
- 10Junior Messias
- 92S. El Shaarawy
- 25H. Traorè
- 5L. Østigård
- 34S. Otoa
- 22J. Vásquez
- 1J. Bijlow
Venezia
3-5-2- 45A. Adams
- 10J. Yeboah
- 71Kike Pérez
- 18A. Hainaut
- 19S. Sohm
- 14Thierry Correia
- 26T. Bašić
- 2M. Moreno
- 15Juan Jesus
- 25R. Halhal
- 1F. Stanković
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 11:43 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Genoa have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Venezia have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Fiorentina(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Rapid(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Parma(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Sudtirol(home) | 1-0 | Coppa Italia |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Frosinone(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Atalanta(away) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Lazio(home) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Fiorentina(home) | 2-4 | Serie A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Frosinone(away) | 2-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Udinese(away) | 1-2 | Coppa Italia |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Genoa wins, 0 draws, 2 Venezia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2025 | Genoa 2-0 Venezia | Serie A |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Venezia 2-0 Genoa | Serie A |
| Jul 20, 2024 | Venezia 1-3 Genoa | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2023 | Genoa 1-4 Venezia | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 16, 2023 | Genoa 1-0 Venezia | Serie B |
| Aug 14, 2022 | Venezia 1-2 Genoa | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Genoa score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Venezia score 2.2 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa | 1.1 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Venezia | 2.2 | 2.0 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Genoa sit 17th in Serie A (4 points from 6 matches) and Venezia sit 20th (0 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Genoa | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 4 |
| 20 | Venezia | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 0 |
A question about Genoa vs Venezia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Genoa vs Venezia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Genoa the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Venezia.
- Where and when is Genoa vs Venezia played?
- Genoa vs Venezia is played on October 25, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.