Genoa vs Venezia: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris, Genova
The Footlab model makes Venezia the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Genoa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Genoa vs Venezia?
A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Genoa (1,991) and Venezia (2,069).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Genoa have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Venezia have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Napoli(home) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ascoli(home) | 4-1 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruna(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Bournemouth(away) | 1-10 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Leicester(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Lecce(home) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Modena(home) | 3-2 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stade Brestois 29(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Saint Etienne(away) | 3-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Galatasaray(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Genoa win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Venezia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2025 | Genoa 2-0 Venezia | Serie A |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Venezia 2-0 Genoa | Serie A |
| Jul 20, 2024 | Venezia 1-3 Genoa | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2023 | Genoa 1-4 Venezia | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 16, 2023 | Genoa 1-0 Venezia | Serie B |
| Aug 14, 2022 | Venezia 1-2 Genoa | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Genoa score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Venezia score 2.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa | 1.0 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Venezia | 2.7 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Genoa sit 18th in Serie A (0 points from 1 matches) and Venezia sit 19th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Genoa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 | Venezia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Genoa vs Venezia?
- The Footlab model makes Venezia the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Genoa.
- Where and when is Genoa vs Venezia played?
- Genoa vs Venezia is played on October 25, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.