Venezuela vs Ecuador: result 1-3 and analysis
World Cup - Qualification South AmericaRegular Season - 4Kick-off on November 17, 2015 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Monumental de Maturín, Maturín
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What was the result of Venezuela vs Ecuador?
Ecuador won 1-3 on November 17, 2015.
Goalscorers
- 15′F. MartínezEcuador
- 23′J. MonteroEcuador
- 60′F. CaicedoEcuador
- 84′Josef MartínezVenezuela
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Venezuela have 1 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats; Ecuador have 5, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2015 | Bolivia(away) | 2-4 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Oct 14, 2015 | Brazil(away) | 1-3 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Oct 8, 2015 | Paraguay(home) | 0-1 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Jun 21, 2015 | Brazil(away) | 1-2 | Copa America |
| Jun 18, 2015 | Peru(away) | 0-1 | Copa America |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2015 | Uruguay(home) | 2-1 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Oct 13, 2015 | Bolivia(home) | 2-0 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Oct 9, 2015 | Argentina(away) | 2-0 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Jun 19, 2015 | Mexico(away) | 2-1 | Copa America |
| Jun 15, 2015 | Bolivia(home) | 2-3 | Copa America |
How many goals should we expect?
Venezuela score 0.8 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 6; Ecuador score 1.4 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Venezuela | 0.8 | 1.8 | 1 | 3/6 | 3/6 |
| Ecuador | 1.4 | 1.1 | 3 | 5/9 | 5/9 |
Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Venezuela sit 8th in World Cup - Qualification South America (18 points from 18 matches) and Ecuador sit 2nd (29 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ecuador | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 14 | 5 | 29 |
| 8 | Venezuela | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 28 | 18 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy