Vera Cruz vs Guarany de Sobral: prediction and stats
Pernambucano - 1Regular Season - 5Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Antônio Inácio de Souza, Caruaru, Pernambuco
The Footlab AI model makes Guarany de Sobral the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Vera Cruz. The most likely score is 1-1. If Guarany de Sobral wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vera Cruz vs Guarany de Sobral?
Guarany de Sobral starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (1,495 vs 1,373).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Vera Cruz vs Guarany de Sobral
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Vera Cruz
4-3-3- AAdones Sousa da Silva
- RRuan Costa
- VVinicius de Souza Tomé
- KKleiton
- VVictor Braga
- MMatheus Filipe Cavalcanti Rosas
- MMoisés Antônio dos Santos Silva
- RRamires
- VVinicius Vitória
- VVinicius Gabriel Bertozzi
- CCiriáco
Guarany de Sobral
4-3-3- DDaniel Passira
- GGeraldo Batista dos Santos Filho
- HHugo Freitas
- PPaulista
- MMattheus Silva
- DDim
- RRaí
- DDanilo Cirqueira
- AAirton Júnior
- AAndré Mascena
- TTheofilo Rufino Rodrigues
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:28 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vera Cruz have 1 win, 4 draws and 10 defeats; Guarany de Sobral have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2025 | Ipojuca(home) | 2-2 | Pernambucano - 2 |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Centro Limoeirense(away) | 0-1 | Pernambucano - 2 |
| Oct 8, 2025 | Belo Jardim(home) | 1-2 | Pernambucano - 2 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | América PE(away) | 0-2 | Pernambucano - 2 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Ipojuca(away) | 1-3 | Pernambucano - 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2026 | Crato(away) | 1-3 | Cearense - 2 |
| May 13, 2026 | Itapipoca(home) | 2-0 | Cearense - 2 |
| May 9, 2026 | Crateús(away) | 0-1 | Cearense - 2 |
| May 2, 2026 | Caucaia(away) | 4-1 | Cearense - 2 |
| Apr 21, 2026 | Uniclinic Atletico Clube(home) | 1-0 | Cearense - 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Vera Cruz score 0.8 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Guarany de Sobral score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vera Cruz | 0.8 | 1.8 | 1 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Guarany de Sobral | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Vera Cruz vs Guarany de Sobral?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vera Cruz vs Guarany de Sobral?
- The Footlab AI model makes Guarany de Sobral the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Vera Cruz.
- Where and when is Vera Cruz vs Guarany de Sobral played?
- Vera Cruz vs Guarany de Sobral is played on November 7, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Antônio Inácio de Souza, in the Pernambucano - 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.