Verden 04 vs Bersenbrück: prediction and stats
Oberliga - NiedersachsenNiedersachsen - 27Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)A-Platz Hubertushain, Verden (Aller)
The Footlab model makes Verden 04 the favourite at 48%, against 22% for a draw and 30% for Bersenbrück. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Verden 04 vs Bersenbrück?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Verden 04 (1,732) and Bersenbrück (1,729).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Verden 04 have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Bersenbrück have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Drochtersen/Assel II(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hemmingen(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Vorsfelde(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Werder Bremen(home) | 2-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | Germania Egestorf(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Wilhelmshaven(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Schwarz-Weiß Rehden(home) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Atlas Delmenhorst(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 8, 2026 | HSC Hannover(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | Holthausen-Biene(away) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Verden 04 win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Bersenbrück win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Verden 04 4-0 Bersenbrück | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Bersenbrück 3-2 Verden 04 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Bersenbrück 2-0 Verden 04 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Verden 04 6-1 Bersenbrück | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
Last archived meeting: Verden 04 vs Bersenbrück on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Verden 04 score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Bersenbrück score 1.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Verden 04 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Bersenbrück | 1.5 | 2.3 | 1 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Verden 04 sit 8th in Oberliga - Niedersachsen (4 points from 3 matches) and Bersenbrück sit 13th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Verden 04 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | Bersenbrück | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Verden 04 vs Bersenbrück?
- The Footlab model makes Verden 04 the favourite at 48%, against 22% for a draw and 30% for Bersenbrück.
- Where and when is Verden 04 vs Bersenbrück played?
- Verden 04 vs Bersenbrück is played on April 25, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at A-Platz Hubertushain, in the Oberliga - Niedersachsen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.