Match

Verden 04 vs Vorsfelde: prediction and stats

Oberliga - NiedersachsenNiedersachsen - 16Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)A-Platz Hubertushain, Verden (Aller)

Verden 04Vorsfelde

The Footlab model makes Verden 04 the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Vorsfelde. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Verden 04 vs Vorsfelde?

A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Verden 04 (1,732) and Vorsfelde (1,707).

Verden 04 win49 %
Draw23 %
Vorsfelde win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Verden 04 have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Vorsfelde have 9, 0 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Verden 04
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Drochtersen/Assel II(home)2-1Oberliga - Niedersachsen
Aug 16, 2026Hemmingen(home)2-2Oberliga - Niedersachsen
Aug 9, 2026Vorsfelde(away)0-1Oberliga - Niedersachsen
Jul 18, 2026Werder Bremen(home)2-6Friendlies Clubs
May 17, 2026Germania Egestorf(away)0-2Oberliga - Niedersachsen
Vorsfelde
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Borussia Hildesheim(home)0-2Oberliga - Niedersachsen
Aug 16, 2026Drochtersen/Assel II(away)1-3Oberliga - Niedersachsen
Aug 9, 2026Verden 04(home)1-0Oberliga - Niedersachsen
May 18, 2025Meppen II(away)1-0Oberliga - Niedersachsen
May 11, 2025Bersenbrück(home)2-1Oberliga - Niedersachsen

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Verden 04 win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Vorsfelde win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 9, 2026Vorsfelde 1-0 Verden 04Oberliga - Niedersachsen
Feb 23, 2025Vorsfelde 2-5 Verden 04Oberliga - Niedersachsen
Oct 31, 2024Verden 04 2-1 VorsfeldeOberliga - Niedersachsen

Last archived meeting: Vorsfelde vs Verden 04 on Aug 9, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Verden 04 score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Vorsfelde score 1.2 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Verden 041.41.438/158/15
Vorsfelde1.21.256/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Verden 04 sit 8th in Oberliga - Niedersachsen (4 points from 3 matches) and Vorsfelde sit 10th (3 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Verden 043111444
10Vorsfelde3102253

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Verden 04 vs Vorsfelde?
The Footlab model makes Verden 04 the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Vorsfelde.
Where and when is Verden 04 vs Vorsfelde played?
Verden 04 vs Vorsfelde is played on November 22, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at A-Platz Hubertushain, in the Oberliga - Niedersachsen.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Verden 04 and Vorsfelde

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