Veria vs Kastoria: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 3Group 3 - 18Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Verias, Veroia (Veria)
The Footlab AI model makes Veria the favourite at 65%, against 23% for a draw and 12% for Kastoria. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,603 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Veria vs Kastoria?
Veria starts as the favourite with a 212-point Elo edge (1,645 vs 1,433).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Veria vs Kastoria
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Veria
4-3-3- 27D. Gioukoudis
- 13F. Bouoli Effa
- 20G. Ioannou
- 14P. Ntoumanis
- 18A. Masouras
- 88L. Eleftheriadis
- 26A. Mouchalis
- 2M. Boukouvalas
- 4A. Kollaras
- 21M. Perdikis
- 1T. Venetikidis
Kastoria
Not enough data to predict the Kastoria lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 03:30 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Veria have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Kastoria have 1, 4 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Vatolakkos(home) | 4-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Pierikos(away) | 3-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou(home) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Ermis Exochi(away) | 2-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Apollon Pontou(away) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Doxa Mascholouriou(away) | 1-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Makedonikos Siatista(home) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Vatolakkos(away) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Svoronos(home) | 0-4 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Apr 24, 2024 | Eordaikos(away) | 1-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Veria score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kastoria score 0.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veria | 1.4 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Kastoria | 0.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Veria sit 4th in Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 (3 points from 1 match) and Kastoria sit 6th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Veria | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Kastoria | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
A question about Veria vs Kastoria?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Veria vs Kastoria?
- The Footlab AI model makes Veria the favourite at 65%, against 23% for a draw and 12% for Kastoria.
- Where and when is Veria vs Kastoria played?
- Veria vs Kastoria is played on January 31, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Verias, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.