Kastoria vs Vatolakkos: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 3Group 3 - 12Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Dimotiko Stadio Kastorias, Kastoria
The Footlab AI model makes Kastoria the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Vatolakkos. The most likely score is 1-1. If Kastoria wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,043 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kastoria vs Vatolakkos?
A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Kastoria (1,431) and Vatolakkos (1,486).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Kastoria vs Vatolakkos
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Kastoria
Not enough data to predict the Kastoria lineup.
Vatolakkos
Not enough data to predict the Vatolakkos lineup.
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 11:02 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kastoria have 1 win, 4 draws and 10 defeats; Vatolakkos have 0, 0 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Anagennisi Artas(home) | 0-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Doxa Mascholouriou(away) | 1-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Makedonikos Siatista(home) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Vatolakkos(away) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Svoronos(home) | 0-4 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Makedonikos Siatista(home) | 0-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Veria(away) | 0-4 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Kastoria(home) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Kastoria win, 0 draws, 0 Vatolakkos wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Vatolakkos 0-1 Kastoria | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Vatolakkos vs Kastoria on Sep 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kastoria score 0.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Vatolakkos score 0.3 and concede 3.3. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kastoria | 0.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
| Vatolakkos | 0.3 | 3.3 | 0 | 0/3 | 2/3 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kastoria sit 6th in Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 (3 points from 2 matches) and Vatolakkos sit 11th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Kastoria | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Vatolakkos | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
A question about Kastoria vs Vatolakkos?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kastoria vs Vatolakkos?
- The Footlab AI model makes Kastoria the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Vatolakkos.
- Where and when is Kastoria vs Vatolakkos played?
- Kastoria vs Vatolakkos is played on December 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Dimotiko Stadio Kastorias, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.