Verl vs FC Viktoria Köln: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 30Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)SPORTCLUB Arena, Verl
The Footlab model makes Verl the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for FC Viktoria Köln. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Verl vs FC Viktoria Köln?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Verl (1,953) and FC Viktoria Köln (1,905).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Verl have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; FC Viktoria Köln have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Hamburger SV(home) | 0-3 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | MSV Duisburg(home) | 2-4 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Alemannia Aachen(away) | 1-4 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | RB Leipzig(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Bremer SV(home) | 6-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | 1. FC Nürnberg(home) | 1-1 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Stuttgart II(away) | 3-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SSV Jahn Regensburg(home) | 2-5 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Kaiserslautern II(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Standard Liege(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Verl win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 FC Viktoria Köln win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Verl 2-0 FC Viktoria Köln | 3. Liga |
| Nov 22, 2025 | FC Viktoria Köln 1-5 Verl | 3. Liga |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Verl 1-1 FC Viktoria Köln | 3. Liga |
| Jan 7, 2025 | FC Viktoria Köln 1-3 Verl | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 22, 2024 | FC Viktoria Köln 2-1 Verl | 3. Liga |
| Dec 20, 2023 | Verl 1-1 FC Viktoria Köln | 3. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Verl vs FC Viktoria Köln on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Verl score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; FC Viktoria Köln score 2.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Verl | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| FC Viktoria Köln | 2.0 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Verl sit 19th in 3. Liga (0 points from 2 matches) and FC Viktoria Köln sit 10th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | FC Viktoria Köln | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 3 |
| 19 | Verl | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Verl vs FC Viktoria Köln?
- The Footlab model makes Verl the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for FC Viktoria Köln.
- Where and when is Verl vs FC Viktoria Köln played?
- Verl vs FC Viktoria Köln is played on March 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at SPORTCLUB Arena, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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